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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 22, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Joseph A. Gimma S.) – Joseph A. Gimma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s Our Tiz 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 Carmen’s Candy Jar 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Valtellina 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 With the Angels 0.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Trail of Gold 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 2.50 1 2-1
1A 7 Spring Magic 3.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 I’m Buzzy 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Sedona 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fade to Grey 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Amity Island 30.00 5.2 10-1
1 5 Just Music 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Bertram F. Bongard S.) – Bertram F. Bongard S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 McDiesel 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Smilensaycheese 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Manhattan Twist 1.60 2.7 5-1
1 1 Sacrosanct 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Pay the Juice 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Buttah 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Oath of Omerta 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Berning Beauty 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Four Eyes 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Slow Down Big Andy 30.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Big Ego 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Kilkerran 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Triple Word Score 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 War Chrome 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Stanley Rough 8.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Janssen 4.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Albedo 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Alley’s Song 0 0-1
2 2 Supers Lucky Lady 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Highway Harmony 1.60 2.8 5-1
9 9 Gram 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Wish List 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Downtown Channel 8.00 4 8-1
10 10 Alette d’Oro 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Artemis Girl 12.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Bertrille 30.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Miscreant 10.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Alley’s Song 50.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Waridi Candy 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Diamond Status 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Pam Pam 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Union Suit 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bella Voce 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Mytown Myrules 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daytona Moonshine 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sky Masterson 12.00 1.5 3-1
12 12 Solo Mio 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Nonno Joe 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Jack and Jim 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 I’m Solo N in Love 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Just Licorice 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Resistance Futile 20.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Leon Blue 2.50 5.5 10-1
6 6 Pretrial Statement 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Miles and Miles 12.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Powmissio 30.00 10 19-1
13 13 Calling Card 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Man of Mischief 1.80 SCRATCH
14 14 Powered by Coal 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Real Savvy 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Magni 15.00 1 2-1
11 11 Just Clarity 10.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Skytown 4.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Daytona Gold 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Bold Fortune 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 We Miss Neil 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Resilient Hero 20.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Twohonestmischief 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Romeo Void 3.50 8.2 16-1
1 1 Hit the Post 4.50 8.6 16-1
10 10 Beach Invasion 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ever So Sweet (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Feather Boa (SAF) 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Union Dolly 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Glitter Up 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Off Ramp 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Quarrel 10.00 5 9-1
10 10 Miss Bonnie T 50.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Isabel Alexandra (IRE) 12.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Mosienko 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rachel’s Rock 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Street Jam 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Sweetest Princess 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cecile 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 On the Payroll 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Summer Whirl 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Red Burgundy 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Bunny Honey 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Bossy Jeans 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Roagna 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Being Betty 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Starts Now 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Boxed Wine 8.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 North End Lady 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 My Cara Mia Mine 50.00 8 15-1
2 2 Lady of Thoroton 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Spirit of Esther 20.00 8.8 17-1
14 14 Chasing Daylight 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Midnight Concerto 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Miss City Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Island Fox 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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