Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ninety Two | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daring Reason | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Appleseed | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Let Me Love You | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thousand Springs | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barbacoa | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Runner | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wrinkle Road | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Passion of Joe’s | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bluebonnet Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Surf P F H | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Misty Mood | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Shortys Girl | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Katillac | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Bileve | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | In a Mineshaft | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warming Trend | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Allycroker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Early Spring | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shootin Run | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strikethreeyourout | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Assembled Storm | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Astern Maid | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lexington Diva | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Billie Baby | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mystery Mo | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | R Doc | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cool Memory | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Passthecat | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Turn On the Magic | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Father Red | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Power Red | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Jae | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Da Prairie Girl | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mission Belle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Mateo Kat | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fayette Blue | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | How Bout Me | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mariah’s Candy | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ruby the Destroyer | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gastown | 4.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marquette Warrior | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bring It On Baby | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Morena | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Bisonette | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | When Judy Calls | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Okie | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gee Gee | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Bet | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Up Up and Away | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Theater | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clearwater Sunset | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deposit Insurance | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ru Mor Starter | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Texas Clubman | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R D C Posse | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breaking the Bank | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Panthera | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cayman Hot | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen of Salsa | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Image | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Ama | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Commandeeress | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Moon River | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.