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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Happily Delusional 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Okverygood 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Dream Talk 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 My Military Hero 5.00 1.5 3-1
11 11 Analog Jones 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Centaur Central 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Gun Trader 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sherman Fury 12.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Possum 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Regalpains 15.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Okie Den Den 15.00 8.5 16-1
15 15 River’s Gamble 12.00 10 19-1
3 3 Flamingproposition 12.00 10.1 19-1
12 12 Mr. Bogan 20.00 10.4 20-1
16 16 Wolf Beach 10.00 SCRATCH
18 18 Friday Surprise 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lasky Drive 20.00 SCRATCH
17 17 The Tire Man 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maximus Angelicus 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Five a Side 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Teller to Win 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Vague 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mischievous Twins 6.00 3.4 7-1
12 12 Paddy’s Gift 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Hippy Hippy Shake 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 I Am Rue 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Alyvia Mavis 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Cantafio 6.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Bee Bluff 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Tip Line 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Alphabet Soup H.) – Alphabet Soup H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Fierce and Strong 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Crisper 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Capo 8.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Retweet 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Drunken Sailor 12.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Freedom Eagle 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Margin of Air 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Market Maven 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Irish Cork 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Wild Vine 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 In Spades 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Keithsendshelloooo 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Twilight Dancer 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Whistle Pig S.) – Whistle Pig S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Roxton 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beyondexpectations 2.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Dr. Lou 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 The Boy’s Warrior 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Au Some Warrior 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Reelin N Dealin 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Smile Maker 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Miss Blue Tye Dye S.) – Miss Blue Tye Dye S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Angel of Hope 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Anabam 1.20 1.8 3-1
2 2 Tudox Dahlia 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Carousel Queen 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Honorable Win 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Hopeforgreatness 8.00 5 9-1
9 9 Vivi Rose 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Loveumom 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Miss Raucus 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Plum Pretty S.) – Plum Pretty S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Foxy Junior 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Nature’s Candy 8.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Confirmed Star 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Morning Matcha 0.40 3 6-1
8 8 Doctor Abbie 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Pachelbel 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Girlfromouterspace 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mollewantacracker 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Striker Has Dial 2.00 1 2-1
10 10 Big Dreamer 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Bella Queen 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Brzina 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Sky Baby 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Woohoo Jackie Blue 6.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Queen Cadence 15.00 8.2 16-1
5 5 Et’s Moon Maiden 10.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Designated 10.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 True Phenomenon 10.00 10 19-1
8 8 Eclair Blanc 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Greenwood Cup S.) – Greenwood Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Next 0 0-1
9 9 Next 0.20 1 2-1
2 2 Dai Vernon 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Beach Daze 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Truculent 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Treble Clef 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Magic Michael 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Ridin With Biden 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Modern Era 20.00 8 15-1
10 10 Suigu Star 50.00 8 15-1
7 7 My Imagination 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Parx Dirt Mile S.) – Parx Dirt Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coastal Mission 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Adero 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Injunction 6.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Film Star 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Repo Rocks 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Concealed Carry 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Seven’s Eleven 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Movisitor 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Turf Monster S.) – Turf Monster S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jean Valjean 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Boat’s a Rockin 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Talented Man 12.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Fore Harp 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Alogon 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Smooth B 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Traders Luck 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Center Mid Maddie 50.00 8.7 16-1
14 14 Real Talk 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Senbei 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Foxtrotanna 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Catty’s Uncle 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Souper Quest 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Talkin Pharoah 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Gallant Bob S.) – Gallant Bob S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Bentornato 0 0-1
1 1 Bentornato 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Sunny Breeze 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Buccherino 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Alwaysintomischief 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Maximus Meridius 5.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 One Sharp Cookie 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Practically Dark 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Awesome Ruta 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Cotillion S.) – Cotillion S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thorpedo Anna 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Sidamara 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tarifa 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Gun Song 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Mystic Lake 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Power Squeeze 4.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Everland 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Scalable 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Pennsylvania Derby) – Pennsylvania Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dragoon Guard 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Unmatched Wisdom 8.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Stronghold 2.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Seize the Grey 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Timeout 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Doc Sullivan 12.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Just Step On It 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Lonesome Boy 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Protective 8.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Uncle Heavy 12.00 9.8 18-1
9 9 Who’s the King 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Parx Sprint S.) – Parx Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Super Chow 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Twisted Ride 5.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Gordian Knot 6.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Top Gunner 4.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Ninetyprcentmaddie 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Veeson 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Speedy Bolt 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Praetorian Guard 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Depoli 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 My Buddy B 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Recruiter 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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