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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Silent Law 1.00 1 2-1
4 4 Calmate 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Special Look 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Prime and Ready 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Supreme Confidence 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Manitowish 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Joe Don Looney 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Marsh Creek 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Took Charge 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Tranche 2.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Stay On the Fence 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Next Trick 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cody Boy 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Resemblance 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Tomorrownevercomes 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Street Talker 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sunset Storm 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Le Mans 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Winsitwell 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Uplift 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Classic Alphie 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sharp Wonder 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Evertoriano 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Eddie’s Wave 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 L Squared 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gypsy Lynn 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Shanghai Sunrise 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Keychain Girl 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Trouble N Paradise 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Chollima 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Queen of the Track 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Smiling for Nana 3.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Mylittlerunaway 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Midnight Love 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Gostoso 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Wherever You Are 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Des Doigts 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Letshaveonemore 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Twilight Moon 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Blackjack and Beer 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Slew’s Joy 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Smarty Nose 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Paul Vincents Poem 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Sgt Powell 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Jerry Jeff Walker 15.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Abadon 4.50 4.7 9-1
4 4 Dr. Troutman 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Dark Mirage S.) – Dark Mirage S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Victorious 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ascendancy 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Show Card 1.20 1.3 2-1
2 2 Coffee in Bed 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 5 Indy’s Star 15.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Gila 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 We the Hobby 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dyin a Thirst 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Amelia’s Echo 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 You Better You Bet 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Musical Number 2.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Wizardess 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Hearts Fantasy 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Lunar Ride 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 Mujer de Oro 10.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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