Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Cap | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dorie Miller | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feisty Mitole | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Looks Lucky | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Falabella | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Whiskyginandbrandy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shanaplan | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pokerknightatvees | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gozer | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Farenheit O C | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Machupicchu | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Where’s the Loot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Redline | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kid Azteca | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always On Cay | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baladi | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Code Duello | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sevak | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Giant Luther | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Strength | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deep Creek Storm | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Escape Plan | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shankadopolous | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Disobey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sauls Call | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Journey D’ Oro | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Prancealot | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Journey | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chromeflash | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donnie the Chiro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quintecents | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Getemdusty | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lisa’s Doctor S | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischievous Dylan | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barsini Red | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Curlin | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Madison Rae | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessebear | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Professors’ Pride | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nanci Griffith | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Our Family | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mama Sue | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s My Flame | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapida | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iconic Memory | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhythmical | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Helen’s Revenge | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Lollipop | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Venice Vibe | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose’s Wish | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Nea | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.