Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
La Cantera (IRE) |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mi Triguena |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Widerthanamile |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mustang Bucks |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
J J’s Honor |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nashville Slew |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Weather Lady |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Breezethrutime |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Belle Mia |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fastidious |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rojo Sky |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Makoa |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
McKirgan |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Renege |
1.80 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yemrehanakristos |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yadirayadirayadira |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Megan Makin Money |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sophia’s Storm |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pretty’n Awesome |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Major Pryce |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Defended |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Twizzle |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Athena’s Wisdom |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fussy Girl |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happy Bella |
0.60 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Girl in Blue |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smart Beauty |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiger Lil |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Seminole Sally |
5.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Girvin Star |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Founder’s Day |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magic Moonstar |
10.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sheza Rajun Cajun |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
No Action |
2.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Drinks On Me |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chaina |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Check the Grade |
6.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dove in Charge |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lamcaro |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fregon |
1.40 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Great Lilo |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mohawk River |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tiz Ruddy Ben |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Go Go Santi |
30.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Greatest Dancer |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Joe Di Baggio |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ragtime Blues |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Money Song |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gone Nuts |
1.60 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cajun’s Magic |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Camptown Races |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Federal Exchange |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Harrington |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Avant Glory |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mr Jack |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Scar |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Emerald Express |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maptitude |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Feast |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cantaro |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fourway Stop |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
E M’s Treasuregirl |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Singing Sandra |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crimson Princess |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alcohol |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Good Bright Flames |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Happy Holiday |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m Blushing |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.