Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fedaline | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Different Drum | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tatoosonmysoul | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Egbert J | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candid Candace | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thatsitthatsall | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Practical Gizmo | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rideau Hall | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Apophis | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Political Warfare | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Adversity | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Style | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Running Lights | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sprung Loose | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peach Cobbler | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Give Me the Boots | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gizmo’s B F F | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Sky | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lois Len | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Know How (GB) | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bridge to Nowhere | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Walter Me Lad | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rookie Radar | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maticulant | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dream On Baby | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lobby Bar | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valley Victory | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cadfael | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Enchant Me | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Xi | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Over Egbert | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bachelor Pad | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Dancer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One More Brew | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Sonny Sideup | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jamiesta | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Master Spy | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Rapport | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Miracle | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Confusing | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | U S Army Corps | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmies Big Day | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Noahs Ark | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Valyrian Sky | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sammy Stone | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winston Blue | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Might Bee Speedy | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buck’s Fizz | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Tourist | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Break the Spell | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thefrontiersman | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stolen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crafty Oaks | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onandonandon | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Eva | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helluva Holiday | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hard to Capture | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taylormoon | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | English Biscuit | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Airy Fairy | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lizzies Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Now You See Me | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Braquet | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Villi Olento | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Makayla | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hyper Awakening | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forest Vixen | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | High Treason | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Original Me | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit O’Tipperary | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Danish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.