Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Stylish Anna | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Jag | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | La Tache | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Jo Jo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Looking for Water | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lady Aethelflaed | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Dooly | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let It Rideness | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sidney’s Bid | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bad Hombre | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Henry | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sette Stelle | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Kitten | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miti Fast Flower | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chachita | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Gabrielle | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Honey | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Boss Lady | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Silver Lady | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hendrickson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Big Star | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Financial District | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fightnomoreforever | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sabi | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aloha Man | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Phobia | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cesnola | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Inbound | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mama Banned Me | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bold Baby | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Race Day | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snow Lake | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fleeting Ember | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tovia | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sonadora Girl | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Belle of the South | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nohai | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | G W’s Girl | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heylookmeover | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamitendiamonds | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Plinko Chip | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eachpeachpearplum | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backseat Romance | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Flay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Miss Smarty Z | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Late Frost | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Beauty | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil Pays in Gold | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ladro Di Fichi | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Great | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Liberty Belle | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nami | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ziffy Bug | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boh’s N O’s | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Candy | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Lancer | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Something Silly | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joy’s Pride | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.