Site icon Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, September 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Super John 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 El Hermano 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Henrythethird 6.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Dixie’s Two Stents 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Hurricane Highway 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Textpectation 20.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Long Gray Line 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Up Against It 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dunphy 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Mask Patrol 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 What a Blast 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Carbonite 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 I Feelucky Tonite 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Ryan’s Fleet 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Secret Life 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Burning Embers 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Bright Kohana 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Sirani 0.60 3.9 7-1
6 6 Raichu 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Brooklyn Heights 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sueno Profundo (ARG) 0 0-1
5 5 Ego Man 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Aggrandize 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Jw’strickymischief 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Sueno Profundo (ARG) 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Power Agenda 20.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 My Devils Child 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Harley’s Charly 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Khozy Colby 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wildcat Girl 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Rumint 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Far Heart 10.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Why Not Babe 6.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Aztec Bay 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Riverview 30.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Dorothy’s the Boss 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Gryphon’s Wings 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Grace Reformed 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Arrogancy 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Betta Go Go Go 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Trumptastic 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Harp’s Hot Corner 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Addyson’s Dream 5.00 4 7-1
4 4 Splitting Stones 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Key Stat 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 American Unity 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 More Than Work 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Shpilkes 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Hoku 4.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Castagno 5.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Big Beautiful Wall 12.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Mt Suribachi 6.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 We Ready 15.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Yodel E. A. Who 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Itwasthedevilsidea 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Check My Six 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Splendor Beauty 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Big Boys Answer 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Hey Porter 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Silent Mode 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Prince Colton 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Lucky Dude 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Runyonesque 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tycoon 4.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Assembly Point (BRZ) 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Greener Pastures 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sailor’s Return 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Roman Empire 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Singinthruthestorm 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Caughtandcollected 8.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Saint Marco 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Kingsville 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Pardsy 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Liberty Star 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version