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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, September 16, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flag Song Flyin 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bythenumbers 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Kentucky Reign 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Fast Gal 2.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Sister Eve 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Bruno Barber Girl 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sweetest Moment 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Job’s Not Finished 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 El de Josue 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Dreamwithinadream 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Scamp Walker 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Plenty of Time 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 The Man to See 2.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Travel Guide 12.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Deleted Video 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Liberty Runner 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Liam’s Kiss 1.20 1 2-1
6 6 Harper Be Good 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 She’s Mybuddybuddy 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Elevenmonthslater 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Kestenna (GB) 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Culpa Blanco 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rocket Dragon 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smokin Holiday 1.60 1.6 3-1
5 5 I Don’t See Colors 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Mr Sandman 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Top of the Street 10.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Disturbed 12.00 4 8-1
6 6 Manolito 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jeanne Marie 5.00 1 2-1
11 11 Getaway Palace 2.00 1 2-1
12 12 Thegoddessofsnakes 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Pleasant Dreams 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Mary’s Reward 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Mikey’s Song 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Alma Brilha 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Hop On Me 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 So Fully Sue 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pachelbel 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 African Angel 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 True Phenomenon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strasse 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 The Gatekeeper 2.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Cisco Kid 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Ira the Icon 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Curlins Cruzin 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Stately Order 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Khopesh 3.50 7.7 15-1
9 9 Villanito 8.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Dos de Oros 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dylan’s Ruby 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mac Daddy Too 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Force of Justice 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Carcharoth 12.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Lost and Confused 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Humble Joe 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Liltonytwophones 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr. Antonelli 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Big Z Og 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Uncle Winchester 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 The Monopoly Man 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Whiskeyromeosierra 12.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Bronx Boys 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Bet the Line 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Confiscated 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Flashndynamite 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Summary Judgment 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Ayeartoremember 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Amaterasu 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Lamasco 2.50 2.9 5-1
10 10 Unadulterated 10.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Gangster Rap 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Boss Like Beth 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Irie Empress 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Tara’s Talent 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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