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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 War Warrior 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Niigon’s Law 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Sugar Buzz 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Charted Map 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Accelerando 3.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Ashley’s Archer 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Hammerhead 2.50 5.7 11-1
4 4 Lover Boy Mo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Meyer 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Journeyman 1.40 1.1 2-1
4 4 British Royalty 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Lil Bit Gangsta 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Prideofdistinction 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Twowaycrossing 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Greystone 5.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Victorian Queen S.) – Victorian Queen S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Souper Supreme 1.00 1 2-1
3 3 Serious Green 20.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 I Love to Win 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Misty Point 20.00 3 6-1
7 7 Skylight Caper 2.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Ella It Is 6.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Princess Rosina 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Thundering 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 He’s Not Joking 1.40 1.4 3-1
3 3 Maki Monarchy 12.00 2 4-1
5 5 Drexel Hill 20.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mister Monoclonal 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Adapted 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 War to Remember 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Painted Glory 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Nantuckets Day 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Shakshuka 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Enduring 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lemon Sweets 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Lady Iona 6.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Rush to Glory 20.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Plaisir d’Amour 10.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Canvas 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Lonny’s Gamble 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Lasting Silence 4.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Drop Your Gloves 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Captivating Name 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Regal Guest 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Out N Out Disgrace 10.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Conacher 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Westmore 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Aim Don’t Miss 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Bull Page S.) – Bull Page S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shadow Realm 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Awesome Rainbow 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Kekoa 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Magic Power 20.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Dewolf 1.80 5.4 10-1
6 6 Unbridled Weather 10.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Shinigami 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Ride for the Purse 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Devil’s Bit 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Zisisit (IRE) 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 My Girl Sky 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Swinging Mandy 3.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Talk to Ya Later 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Miss Roberts (GB) 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Fish Mooney 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Moral Turpitude 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Amazin Queen 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Twin City 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Border Town 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Malibu Mambo 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Town Cruise 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Old Chestnut 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Mason’s Gamble 3.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Roaring Forties 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cabernaydo 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Monday Morning 6.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Quiet Knight 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Connor 20.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Eros 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Rebel Faith 8.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Saint Templar 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Hello Ladies 12.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Aryeh 15.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Sprung Loose 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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