Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Greek Heiress | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Abitibi | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arella Star | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stand by You | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mercy Warren | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rose Palace | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In My Opinion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Summer of Mischief | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Society | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Duke of Duval | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnificent Rags | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D’oro Unbridled | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eglise | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | He’s a Joker | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready as Ever | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Momentum Files | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Can’t Stop Willis | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chun Money | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redeposit | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Five Sy | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not So Holy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Line of Scrimmage | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zeca Diabo | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Skelly Road | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous M | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Constitutionreview | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Villa | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | National Eclipse | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Noble Eagle | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Imperio | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | General Issue (FR) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Soaring Bird | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fan the Fire | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jamming Eddy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Upstriker | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oncoming Train | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Best of Greeley | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | One for Richie | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robo Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Man On the Moon | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Smokeshow | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 12 | 12 | Divineintervention | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hear the Queen | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’argento Bolt | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Haleakala | 4.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinahs Girl | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fearless Lady | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maclean’s Lullaby | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wisconsin Gal | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Tifeye | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Music | 10.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royalewithcheese | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aledean | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Sunday Disruptor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Margot’s Angel | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dawn After Dawn | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alongcomesawoman | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runnin N Gunnin | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aledean | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rita’s Legacy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trading Secrets | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rando | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Champagne Nights | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Determined Candy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Huntress for Hire | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Gal of Mine | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | La Foret | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hey Olivia | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harbor Springs | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Benedetta | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Muffin | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lightning Myqueen | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Come as You Are | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steampunk | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Miss Rockette | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Red River Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sister Kisses | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Curlin’s Magic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mugen | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Madison | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Rose | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mink’s Palace | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | V V’s Dream | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Let Them Watch | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riperton | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms. Tart | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dorothy Crowfoot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baton Rouge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Game Warden | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben Franklin | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lambeth | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | King Kumbalay | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Event Detail | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Resolve | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Dot Yaht | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Creative Minister | 6.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hurry Hurry | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mackman | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Expensive Cut | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cathedral Beach | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Al Ameeq | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thoughtthatcounts | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Willie Bird | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | G T Five Hundred | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Junior Bug | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chryso Alogo | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Morunning | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | B Sudd | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brio | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holiday House | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bebedouro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | B Fifty Two | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Northern Chill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.