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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 15, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pediatric Princess 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 All Night Revival 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Coral Sea 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Snipsnippitysnip 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Lavender Disaster 2.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Competitive Market 6.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Paraiba Blue 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Vow to Resiliency 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Wild Mama 0 0-1
4 4 Complex Gal 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Faith 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Vespera 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Save the Queen 2.50 5.6 11-1
1 1 Mia Vita 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Wild Mama 8.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Decree and Declare 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Smooth Claret 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Iridescent 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Bold Ambition 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sonofaship 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 For Some Reason 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Charlie’s Express 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Vinsanity 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bank Frenzy 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mistical Curlin 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Costa Terra 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Irish Exit 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Nelson Avenue 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Lost in Rome 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Naughty Destiny 2.00 1 2-1
12 12 Barefoot Disco 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 4 Cerretta 3.00 2.4 4-1
1 5 Generous Luva 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Corri Felice 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Follow Your Arrow 10.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Mo Damorninggrouch 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Troubled Luck 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lil’ Hayadoin 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 1 Russalite 15.00 9.8 19-1
15 15 Boston Strong Mama 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 My Executive Sweet 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Starsinthecity 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Digital Currency 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Duchessofnormandy 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Lady Meringue 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Call Me Harry 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bettrluckythangood 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Agent Creed 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Locke and Key 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Union Trail 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Gem Mint Ten 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Clear Conscience 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Cable Ready 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Bar Fourteen 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Barese 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Condiment Girl 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Everlys Girl 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ribot’s Valentine 5.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Mon Petit Chou 2.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 R Funny Bizness 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 My First Love 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Gringotts 8.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Jolly Miss Jill 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Gaslight Dancer 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Inflation Nation (IRE) 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Java Buzz 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Hilarious Affair 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Palace View (IRE) 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Nano Man 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Collect From Ike 30.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 He’s Got It 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Korrongo 20.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Grumley 50.00 12.8 24-1
14 14 War Terminator 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Feathers Road 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 King Moonracer 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Master of Arms 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dr Oseran 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tommy Two Socks 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Shade of Pale 0 0-1
4 4 Time Stone 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Hidden Presence 4.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Jitterbug 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 This Country 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Goodnight My Angel 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Silvology 10.00 5 9-1
9 9 Autumn’s Turn 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Shade of Pale 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Weighted Average 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Promdatebonnie 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Purrfect Girl 20.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 The Taco Lady 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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