Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just Magnificent 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Silent and Sinful 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 English Jubilee 2.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Empire’s Treat 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Rashmi 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Froginapond 20.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Big Drama Diva 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Under Agreement (FR) 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Snatched 10.00 1 2-1
11 11 Spun Around 20.00 3 6-1
10 10 Salmiakki 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Keytothepark 3.00 5 10-1
1 1 Serenading Kitten 20.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Crimson Sea 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Lady Izzy 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Afleet Flatter 12.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Tiz Her Money 6.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Orient Beach 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 No Time 3.50 6.9 13-1
6 6 Aristella 8.00 9 17-1
13 13 Yorkton Rose 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pop Rox 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tabei 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pocket Pair 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Top of D Mountain 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Mean to Me 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sweet Passions 15.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 J M R Tacita 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Sil’s Gamble 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Tandhoneywithane 20.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Seven P R C 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Rhaenys 10.00 7.7 14-1
11 11 Hymn to Her 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whisper Not (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Fighter in the Win 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Onenightstandards 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Breaking Alone 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Elusive Knight 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Mehlek 20.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Jim’s Hope 8.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Steak and Cheese 12.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Luckman 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Johnnie Walker Natalma S.) – Johnnie Walker Natalma S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Thread 20.00 1 2-1
13 13 Mountain Breeze (IRE) 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Italian Soiree 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Ready for Candy 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Will Reign 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Annascaul 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Nitrogen 10.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Vixen 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ready to Battle 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 And One More Time 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Arctic Velocity 50.00 11.5 22-1
4 4 Winterberry 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Latin Fever (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Ontario Matron S.) – Ontario Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Fashionably Fab 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Libban 10.00 1.3 2-1
10 10 Sabatini 8.00 1.3 2-1
13 13 Ro Town 15.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Elysian Field 15.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Solo Album 3.00 2.7 5-1
14 14 Metaphysical 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Sand and Sea 12.00 4.1 8-1
15 15 Ephrata (GB) 20.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Forever Dixie 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Rosie’s Alibi 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Blueberry Fields 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Batucada 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Affirmative Lady 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Tito’s Calling 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (E. P. Taylor S.) – E. P. Taylor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moira 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Fev Rover (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Blue Rose Cen (IRE) 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Full Count Felicia 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Blush (IRE) 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cinderella’s Dream (GB) 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Loose Wire 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Day Tripper 20.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 J P Hellish 2.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Volcanic 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Frosted Over 10.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Maakwa 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Ron’s Gizmo 3.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Mighty Heart 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Pat’ssewingmachine 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Bet365 Summer S.) – Bet365 Summer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 First Resort 4.00 1 2-1
13 13 Forty N Five 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cairo Caper 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Dream On 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Al Qudra (IRE) 3.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 New Century (GB) 6.00 7.1 13-1
16 16 Groot 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Coolcollected 20.00 7.6 14-1
14 14 Winterberry 10.00 9 17-1
8 8 Special Session 20.00 9.3 18-1
7 7 Will Reign 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dewolf 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vixen 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ready to Battle 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Thread 20.00 SCRATCH
17 17 Nitrogen 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Latin Fever (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Rogers Woodbine Mile S.) – Rogers Woodbine Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 My Boy Prince 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Big Rock (FR) 6.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Naval Power (GB) 1.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Playmea Tune 12.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Niagara Skyline 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Win for the Money 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Secret Reserve 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Branded Cities Vigil S.) – Branded Cities Vigil S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Patches O’Houlihan 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Remuda 10.00 4 7-1
3 3 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 War Bomber (IRE) 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Rockcrest 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ironstone 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Last American Exit 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kaukokaipuu 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mr. Who 20.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Souped Up 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Cool Kiss 20.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Wicked Django 2.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 South Bend 3.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Wentru 10.00 5.6 10-1
6 6 Dun Drum 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Grandson 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Junipero Serra 6.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version