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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Binging 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Mr. Machupicchu 1.00 1 2-1
5 5 Run Abboudy Run 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Grey Power 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 He’za Ten 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dixie Blaze 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 In Without Knockin 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Miracle Ball 1.20 1.1 2-1
2 2 Smooth as Butter 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Stormy Gal 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Proceedtotheroute 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Big Cheeseola 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Pop d’Oro 5.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Big Splash 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Billy’s Bet 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Lettheliquortalk 2.50 5.6 10-1
7 7 This Is a Joke 2.00 6 11-1
6 6 Spiritist 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Top Gun Classic 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 C’Mon Man 1.40 1 2-1
7 6 Big Cheddar 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Yes He Can 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Facts Matter 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sonic Brees 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Marks Hip 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 98 Whoa Buddy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Splashed in Gold 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pat’s Paddock Pick 3.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Devil Among Us 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Street Humor 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Takamakahara 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Smiling Tony 20.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Sippin Whiskey 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Damazio 4.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mongolian Frost 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miz Clubcali 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Rose Dawson 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Shamrockin 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Act of Serendipity 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Satellite Heart 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Roman Empress 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Flymetothemoonbaby 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Instinct D’ Oro 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Beer Money 4.50 4 7-1
6 6 Immelmann 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Impeachalot 3.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Eight Clap 5.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Petesoldfashioned 5.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Leading the Pace 8.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Letshaveonemore 15.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Gostoso 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (E.b. Johnston S.) – E.b. Johnston S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Man O Rose 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Dont Fight the Fed 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Fast Draw Munnings 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Coalinga Road 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Cowboy Mike 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Shortman 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 El Rey Dorado 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Rhino 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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