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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 14, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Louisiana Power 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Special Rip Tide 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tt Reddi Shiner 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Dashn for Corona 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Bd Wicked Quick 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Fullmoon Fast Dash 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ana Maria 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Sue Nahmi 3.50 8.7 16-1
2 2 A Corona Stud 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shesafivebarlady 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Elvis Gotta B Fast 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Jls Classy Beduino 6.00 4 7-1
4 4 The Reserve 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Love Me Some Cash 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Jess Corona Blue 3.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Rio Rojo Negras 3.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Chloes Prize 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Electric Cartel 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lrh Grant James 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Th Mai Tai Tom 3.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Billie Bad Azz 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Eagle Flyn Thru Fire 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Hez Hunters Rogue 6.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Rogue From the South 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eagles Reward 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jj Forever Louisiana 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 A Shot At Corona 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Vf Up the Money 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Double Tac Flash 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Rm Mines Train B 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Sheza Monee Train 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 La Pantera Jp 4.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hard Ninety 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Lynns Piloto Love 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Al Siete D Copas 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Cleared Furr Takeoff 4.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Handin Out Candy 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Kiss My Wild Candy 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Half Right 12.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Gusher 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Runningintherain 10.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Wedding Groom 25.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Durango Jess 3.50 6.1 11-1
8 8 El Capi 3.00 17.7 33-1
1 1 Fishing for a Living 4.00 17.7 34-1
9 9 Flaming Eagle 4.00 17.7 34-1
2 2 Ha Chi Corona 8.00 17.9 34-1
7 7 Sizzlin Hot Girl 8.00 17.9 34-1
4 4 Tf Itsy Bitsy Jess 8.00 17.9 34-1
3 3 Pattys Corona 8.00 17.9 34-1
5 5 Ebbie Renee 12.00 18 34-1
6 6 Dash Jess Quick 12.00 18 34-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ttt Ima Jazzin James 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Rb Lacys Dynasty 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Mojito Time 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Coastal Tide 8.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Streakin D 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Justin Kase 8.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Kryptic 8.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 San Lorenzo Mudbug 2.50 7.6 14-1
6 6 Le Train 4.50 8.4 16-1
4 4 Baby Blue Corona 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blue Blizzard 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Explosive Legend 3.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Taranza 6.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Corona123 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Mornin Freight 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Channings Prize 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Blast of Blue Flame 6.00 6 11-1
8 8 Da Repo Man 4.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Apolitical Jess 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Tell Him No Secrets 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Majestic Eye Opener 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Leaving Coyame 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Gobernador Js 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Tempting Come Back 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Rh Divino 3.50 6.5 12-1
6 6 Rm Viejo Bergel 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Powered by Prayerz 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Mp Hollywood Legend 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Lqhba Sale Juvenile S.) – Lqhba Sale Juvenile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 American Blood 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tac It Blood 3.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Eyesa Gonna Streak 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Oak Hill Dasher 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Tc Scootin Aces 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Super Chewy Mickey 4.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Jess Tie Your Shoos 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 Another Gold Heart 4.00 9 17-1
4 4 Dashing All In 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Lqhba Sale Debutante S.) – Lqhba Sale Debutante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wish U Were Whiskey 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jess a Dash O Dancer 20.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Rf Gold Heart Duck 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Eloquenz 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sylvi Can Too 4.50 6.7 13-1
1 1 Fancy Paints 10.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 San Lorenzo Princess 2.50 7 13-1
9 9 Louisiana Blood 8.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Jess Pretty N Black 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Blues Train Too 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Jess B Sizzlin 12.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Golden Eagle B 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Fast Lane Train 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 San Lorenzo Firulais 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Coopers Ace Tee 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Five Card Blood 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Cartel Gone Wild 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Runnning With Faith 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Carte Blanch 4.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Big Dashin Eagle 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Captain Tal 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 San Lorenzo Tycoon 8.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Fast Dashin Colt 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Vikinga Cartel 4.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Captain Eagle 10.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Brigs Dashing Corona 12.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Courage to Corona 3.50 8.1 15-1
7 7 Rip This Tide 4.50 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Trip in On High 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Jrs Sheza Corona 6.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Fortune Seis Aces 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Ttt Mr Kas 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Open the Last Corona 20.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Blood Rose Z 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Rh Primis Sixes 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sir Runaway Star 4.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Wickid Deluxe 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Jj Apollitical Snow 8.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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