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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Matti Jambalaya 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Encino Man 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Bar Money Cartel 15.00 3 6-1
5 5 Bat Quick Jess 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Miss Leaving You 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Pool Zone 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Zoom All by Myself 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Mp Saint Pat 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Power of the Smile 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Corona Checks Blue 8.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Blue Jedi 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Jmg I Jess Blew by U 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Kp Willi 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bcl One Fast Jess 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Kool First Liner 5.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Cca Fun Walk 8.00 4.2 8-1
Blue Jedi 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dashing Grand 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Patins Duck 4.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 American Clown 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Ima Truckle Feature 15.00 3 6-1
2 2 Buckets of Bux 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ferarri Prize 2.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Eagle Eye Leaving U 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Lias Deluxe 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Ttt Lobita 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mp Eye Fly 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gias Mooin Eagle 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Tlk My Kinda Guy 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Pjs Moonpie 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Sizzlin Zayla 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Game Little Wagon 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Missy Mtz Piloto 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Jj Jess Goes By 12.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Inseperably 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Contrary Eagle 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sassie Streakin 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Maria Isabella 10.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Oh Hez Gold 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Narcissist 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 La Luna Rusa 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Tg Classy Dasher 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Firstn Kool Moon 12.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Jesst B Train 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Louisiana Pretty 15.00 1 2-1
9 9 All Aboard B 3.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Fdd Went Fishing 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Streakin Fast Blood 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Big Man 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 The Fiscal Flyer 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Soaracrossyourmind 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 San Lorenzo Rose 3.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Jet Black Game 6.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Sheza Bell Perry 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Real Wild Cartel 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Goat Wagon 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Jess a Wild Candy 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Mazzikeen 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Luke Chapter Fifteen 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 La Panther Blue 10.00 7 13-1
2 2 Ajs Whiskey Bent 3.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Imflyingbyyou 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Duck Duck Go 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Sophias Nme 12.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Corona Leaving Hail 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Nito 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hope Tide 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Relentless Bling 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Bp Tres a Policy 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Enstrom 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Dreamgirls Dynasty 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Hez Got Swag 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bbs Mooninchick 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Hemp N My Corona 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Power by Black 12.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Open Eagle 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Jrs Coronas Toast 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 C C Girl 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Ab Chalalo 5.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Jess Train B 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 One Fine Beast 8.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 India de La Nieve 3.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (De Saix S.) – De Saix S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flyinbayou 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Jj Jessa Dynasty 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Rf Imperial Choice 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Rf Fast Dash N Train 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Always Me 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 D Queen of Queens 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 San Lorenzo Patrona 4.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 G Amtrak B 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Paint Me Onis 8.00 8 15-1
4 4 Hes Bold as Corona 3.50 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Futurity) – Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Josies Cartel 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gatlan 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Coco Piloto 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 San Lorenzo Hustle 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Seis No More 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 The Legend of Corona 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Tell Your Senators 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Pilotos Dynasty 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Jd Heza Paintedeagle 8.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Asc Eclipse 12.00 6.6 12-1
Seis No More 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mr Sixy 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Freighttrain Lee 4.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Moe Carter 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Tres Bar 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Jess a Blu Streak 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jimmy Be Good 12.00 3 6-1
6 6 Mg Freit Train 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 B Ruthless 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gold Heart Policy 12.00 4 7-1
9 9 Strait Vodka 12.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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