Site icon Sports from the Basement

Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 13, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Royal Poppy 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Willow Bend 3.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Hazardous Humor 4.50 4 7-1
1 1 Bank On Anna 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Whistler’s Style 3.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Backed by Gold 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heavenly Light 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Bryant and Cooper 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Grace and Grit 2.50 5 9-1
5 5 One More Dance 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Timia 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Speed and Beauty 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Kissed by Karma 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Saratoga Snow 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Infastuation 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Twilight Tango 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Permed 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 You’re Forever 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Frannie Lew 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Devil Blue Dress 2.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Play Free Bird 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Proper Grammar 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Jay’s Love 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cinderella’s Cause 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Maggie T 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 April Antics 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 The Shoe Lady 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Echo in Eternity 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Racing Colors 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Krystalheir 20.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Amity Island 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 King Puck 1.40 1 2-1
3 2 Bustino Santino 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Master Freud 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Spoken Bluntly 12.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Wind Dancer 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 3 Oreno 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Cousin Ed 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Rohan 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Flame Rock Fire 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Vitalize 8.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Ridolfi 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cara’s Dreamweaver 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Willful Mama 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 On a Summer Day 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Nonna Lynne 4.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Mangetsu 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Young At Heart 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Tralee Girl 4.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Tres Aries 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Argentiera 12.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Bernieandtherose 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mystic Night 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Suerte 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 11 Higher Quality 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 8 Commandperformance 15.00 5 9-1
9 10 First Glimpse 6.00 6.5 12-1
1A 6 Bold Victory 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 7 Grandpa’s Kid 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 He’s Got This 4.50 7.2 14-1
5 5 Bossmakinbossmoves 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Majestic Frontier 10.00 7.4 14-1
8 9 Life and Light 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Marco T. 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Strictly Taboo 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Mz Big Bucks 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Weekend Rags 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Im Just Kiddin 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Spooky Lady 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Autumn Glory 30.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Latest Edition 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Patria 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Queens Dancer 30.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Sue Ellen Mishkin 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Foxy Cara 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Winter Memories S.) – Winter Memories S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Poolside With Slim (IRE) 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Lady de Berry 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Whiskey Decision 6.00 6.3 12-1
14 14 Ori 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Les Reys (FR) 6.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Cloudwalker 10.00 7.5 14-1
12 12 Proctor Street 5.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Ready to Jam 12.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Mixologist 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Macanga 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Value Area 2.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Vino Rouge 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Nice as Pie 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Zo Lee 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Misseliofwar 0 0-1
6 6 Bubbe Dearest 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Practically Summer 3.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Selectively Sweet 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Ailani 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Divorced of Course 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Fifi La Fume 8.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Just Words 8.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Misseliofwar 15.00 9.5 18-1
9 9 T D Magee 6.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Silent Sandy 15.00 10.8 20-1
7 7 Tower Twenty Two 8.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version