Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 12, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Panyard Tap 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hurricane Deshambo 20.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Java Power 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Screen Legend 3.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Highland Rocky 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Squeezethesharman 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Seattle Stinger 4.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tropical Getaway 20.00 7 13-1
7 7 Question Mark 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Gentle Persuasion 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Scored 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Silent Patsy 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Zeena Swift 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Save the Date 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Rendezvous 20.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Powaqa 15.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Princessonamission 6.00 8 15-1
7 7 Lady With Attitude 10.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Scat Humor 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 All My Tomorrows 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Systematic 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Frankie’s Girl 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Lady in Red 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Text Me Up 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Delphia 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Umneyaat 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Awildas Treasure 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Make No Mistake 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pluie d’Avril 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Motorin’ Maggie 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Ami’s Girl 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Ladies Rum 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Six for a Nine 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Madam Gwen 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Annia Cornificia F 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Stormy Ocean 6.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Brit 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Speedy Pal 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Victory Town 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Silver Smoke 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Sugar It’s Eli 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Agile Dancer 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Fabelman 4.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Fairway to Heaven 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Dreams and Schemes 10.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 My Munnings Model 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cleomenes 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Northern Ruby 3.50 1.3 3-1
5 5 Kavala 2.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Antigone 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hello Friends 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Bridge to Nowhere 6.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Spider Belle 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Happy Valentine 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silent Sky 2.50 1.4 3-1
8 8 Cozy Curlin Kitten 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Domer Allure 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Foxy Diva 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Seattle Causeway 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Fortyfiveseventy 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Blameless Ghost 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Olympic Fencer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Sigiriya 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 She’sacrowdpleaser 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 A Sting for Love 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Magnetize 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 War Vow 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Miss Waterloo 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Sloans Sky 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Moet Monet 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Classic Glory 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Resentless Seattle 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bling d’Money Home 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version