Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tirupati |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kake’s Tap Dancer |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Learning to Fly |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Bossy Kate |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dead Sexy |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Keep It Sweet |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Vana Bright |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dirty Gold |
15.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Secessionist |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rapid Miss Tapit |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Mer Soleil |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ascribe |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Patient Capital |
1.40 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Inspired Irish |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kissthemoon |
3.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Minxzluckystarfyre |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Admit Nothing |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Watch Me Disappear |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dulce Kiara |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Whiteknuckleflyer |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Easy Answer |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Golden Can |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Theodora Grace |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hidewright Away |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Olive Kat |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Proper Attire |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Police Woman |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Speak Your Mind |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Coal Mine |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Threatlevelmidnite (GB) |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Aristocratic |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Paco the Taco Man |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Veselsky |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shoot Themessenger |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dr. Rusty Raymond |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aequor |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Moon Cache |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Social Love |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paradise Wins |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gathered |
1.60 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grand Empress |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Seger Songs |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Canadian Bear |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Catalina |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boys Go to Jupiter |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Winning Streep |
6.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ready for Magic |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Hidden Quarry |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Greek Sing |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Iced Mocha |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kapatude |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Molly of Stratford |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Storm Rate |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blue Trillion |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
South Pacific |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skip Thru Da Fire |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Any Fools Gold |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Velvet Vixen |
15.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just the Thing |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Shape Note |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nielson |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wora |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Great Idea |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Happy Jaunt |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Whirlwind Ride |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Surprise Hello |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Benny Havens |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Watch Out World |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Super Accelerate |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Play Like a Raven |
1.60 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Guardian Prince |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Circle P |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
John Hall |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
He’s Orientate |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Ganado |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Max Swagger |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Awesome Strike |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Breakwater |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Contempt |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cassius |
2.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hard Traveler |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aloha Man |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bill of Rights |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Washington’s Union |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Formal Affair |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.