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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tirupati 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Kake’s Tap Dancer 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Learning to Fly 12.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Bossy Kate 8.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Dead Sexy 3.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Keep It Sweet 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Vana Bright 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Dirty Gold 15.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Secessionist 30.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Rapid Miss Tapit 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mer Soleil 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ascribe 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Patient Capital 1.40 1.1 2-1
2 2 Inspired Irish 15.00 2 4-1
5 5 Kissthemoon 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Minxzluckystarfyre 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Admit Nothing 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Watch Me Disappear 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Dulce Kiara 3.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Whiteknuckleflyer 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 No Easy Answer 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Golden Can 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Theodora Grace 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Hidewright Away 20.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Olive Kat 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Proper Attire 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Police Woman 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Speak Your Mind 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Coal Mine 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Threatlevelmidnite (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aristocratic 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Paco the Taco Man 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Veselsky 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Shoot Themessenger 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dr. Rusty Raymond 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Aequor 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Moon Cache 15.00 1 2-1
13 13 Social Love 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Paradise Wins 4.50 1.7 3-1
10 10 Gathered 1.60 4.3 8-1
4 4 Grand Empress 12.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Seger Songs 12.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Canadian Bear 20.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Lady Catalina 30.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Boys Go to Jupiter 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Winning Streep 6.00 8.7 16-1
5 5 Ready for Magic 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Hidden Quarry 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Greek Sing 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Iced Mocha 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Kapatude 8.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Molly of Stratford 10.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Storm Rate 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Blue Trillion 8.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 South Pacific 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Skip Thru Da Fire 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Any Fools Gold 12.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Velvet Vixen 15.00 8.7 17-1
4 4 Just the Thing 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Shape Note 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Nielson 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Wora 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Great Idea 2.50 5 9-1
7 7 Happy Jaunt 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 One Whirlwind Ride 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Surprise Hello 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Benny Havens 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Watch Out World 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Accelerate 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Play Like a Raven 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Guardian Prince 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Circle P 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 John Hall 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 He’s Orientate 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Ganado 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Max Swagger 12.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Awesome Strike 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Breakwater 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Contempt 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Cassius 2.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Hard Traveler 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Aloha Man 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Bill of Rights 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Washington’s Union 1.60 SCRATCH
2 2 Formal Affair 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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