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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 8, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Beauty N the Bolt 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Kythira 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Ace Ace Baby 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Respect the Crown 4.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Smile Baby Smile 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Sky Sailing 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Half Nelson 20.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Unified A. P. 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Sapadilla 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 It’s My House 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Lord Sheldon 10.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Keen Heir 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Mobou 2.50 5.8 11-1
4 4 Montana 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Funkenstein 8.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Stop and a Tres 10.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Trusty Rusty 5.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Impossible Task 12.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Stonevicious 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
They Are for Sale 0 0-1
9 9 Cyprus Moon 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Ashley 10.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Spirit Rules 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Irish Rose 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Lovin’ On the Run 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Step It Out (IRE) 4.00 6 11-1
10 10 Miss Wendy Sue 12.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Girvin Gal 8.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Tiny Prancer 20.00 9 17-1
12 12 They Are for Sale 5.00 9.8 18-1
5 5 Gift of Time 20.00 10.3 19-1
1 1 Bal de Mar 6.00 11 21-1
14 14 Above All Else 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dangerous Affair 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Clapping Trees 20.00 1 2-1
11 10 Mac and Cheese 30.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Practical Dream 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Cash Call 1.80 3.1 6-1
5 4 This Name’s Taken 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Alanis 4.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Whirlwind 30.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Mia Sorpresa 30.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Aunt Mo 4.00 6.6 13-1
6 5 Pura Vida Princesa 3.50 8.7 16-1
14 13 Rose’s Wish 30.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Lady of Light 20.00 SCRATCH
3 98 Helen’s Revenge 0.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Mancuso 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Phosphorescence (FR) 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mongolian Altai 20.00 3.3 6-1
11 11 Hot Legs Romolo 15.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Looks Rare 3.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Agatino (IRE) 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Dealers Special 2.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Nashoba’s Joy 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Duran 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Pass the Baton 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Here Comes Braylon 12.00 7.9 15-1
12 12 J B Strikes Back 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Triple Pass 30.00 10.5 20-1
14 14 Moon Ice 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Maximum Capacity 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mirahmadi 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Abitmischievous 2.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Bartholdy 12.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Arabian Flirt 12.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Momad 6.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Nassau Circle 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Harry Houdini 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Western Avenue 12.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Bolt’s Treasure 20.00 7.6 14-1
13 13 Bruckner 6.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Fame 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Prince of Power 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bertani 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Oscar Joy 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Seismic Spirit (IRE) 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Dos Passos 20.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sorrento Sky (IRE) 10.00 3.2 6-1
11 11 Irish Royalty 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Red Pill 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Disko Tribute 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Will Be 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Eddie’s Last 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Habeas 15.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Bolt Supremacy 20.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Took Charge 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Please Focus 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Mas Rapido (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tequila Talkin 10.00 1 2-1
12 12 Mirinda 15.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Windribbon 8.00 4 7-1
8 8 Mio Bambino 20.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Tiger in My Tank 20.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Bob’s Blue Moon 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Coach Cronin 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Kerry Gold 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Irish Corn 4.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 No More Ding Dongs 10.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Bee Eye Gee 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Ricks Red Storm 12.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 So I’m Told 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Tizz a Good Thing 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.) – Del Mar Juvenile Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sabertooth 12.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ivan the Great 8.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Run for Kidder 8.00 5.2 10-1
15 15 Snowdonia 30.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Mischief River 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Tiz Happy 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 An Chorr Dubh (IRE) 5.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Show of Force 30.00 9.3 18-1
4 4 Coach Chuck 20.00 9.7 18-1
16 16 Panuco 30.00 10 19-1
8 8 Scipio 12.00 10.2 19-1
12 12 Toppers At Seaside 30.00 10.9 21-1
1 1 Artislas 6.00 11.6 22-1
14 14 Johnson’s Magic 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pali Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Uncle Dude 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Del Mar Futurity) – Del Mar Futurity

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Gaming 0 0-1
1 1 Getaway Car 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 R Heisman 20.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Brother Tony 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 McKinzie Street 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Gaming 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Rank 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Citizen Bull 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rugelach 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cornelia Fort 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Shocking Grey 8.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Mahina 12.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 Annie’s Joy 15.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Irresistible Force 20.00 3.7 7-1
12 12 Montjica (FR) 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Andiamo Ragazza 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Lady Claypoole (IRE) 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Pleasant Wave 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Grace Period (FR) 15.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Special Flower 6.00 9.5 18-1
14 98 Big Mama Sue 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Abhita 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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