Site icon Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 6, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sehr Schoen 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Flattering Look 8.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Loaded Justice 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Worry Less 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Aurelian Flame 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Lemon Twist 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Frost Bitten 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Good Point 0 0-1
2 2 Mucho Magnifico 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Thefrontiersman 5.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Its Just Money 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Stretch Pass 3.50 4 8-1
4 4 Good Point 2.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Demba 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dubawi Bull 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Focusyn 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Halcon Negro 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alicia’s Kid 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Exchange Day 4.50 1.7 3-1
1 1 Warp Ride 10.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Blackteca 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Tricky Magician 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Spite Store 8.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Courageous Copper 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Napa Spirit (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Road to Versailles 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hatmaker Gizmo 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Red Ensign 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Buck’s Fizz 5.00 6 11-1
1 1 Caught Speeding 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Dissectologist 20.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Rock It Red 10.00 9.7 18-1
2 2 Smart Almasty 20.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Ry Pie 20.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 Trebuchet 15.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 Under Surveillance 4.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Designated Hitter 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Manetka 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Star Scholar 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Benlion 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Defogger 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Good Soldier 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Snookered 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Ethnic Soul 20.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Dixie’s Flatter 10.00 8 15-1
5 5 Profesorridesagain 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Thread 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Bedtime 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Scat Girl 8.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Bonita Mundo 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Just Like That 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mobula 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Beautiful Crazy 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Tiz Her Money 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Lady Izzy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pop Rox 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Voodoo Doll 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Victory Achieved 2.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Backonthechaingang 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Map’s a Breeze 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Summer Buck 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Knowing 8.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Maestros Music 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Souper Iconic 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Night Striker 2.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Coprolite 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Canadian Daddy 10.00 4.7 9-1
14 14 Whiskey Row 10.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Arrakasta Izan 15.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Blondina’s Boy 20.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Glorious Revenge 4.50 9.1 17-1
12 12 Question Mark 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Highland Rocky 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Hurricane Deshambo 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Java Power 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Squeezethesharman 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tropical Getaway 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Sprung Loose 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Screen Legend 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version