Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lady Monclaire |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Will |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maniae |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Glacier Rim |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
On the Equinox |
3.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiz Lissett |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
G’oro |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Shoot for the Sky |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s Just Grand |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lita Way |
30.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tom’s Star |
20.00 |
11.5 |
22-1 |
6 |
6 |
Thank You Kera |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Pippa Philipa |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (I’m Smokin S.) – I’m Smokin S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Timty |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Style Cat |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bodacious |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shea Brennan |
1.80 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
The Gypsy Cowboy |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
R Heisman |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Aleramo (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Abazaami (GB) |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Watershed Moment |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ce La Vi Charli |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Queen Kimbe |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lolo Le Plume |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Resolve |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Toes |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ready to Dare |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Chic |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
98 |
Naples Gal |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
12 |
Caitlin Fever |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
13 |
Lady Lollipop |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Madonna of Loreto |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
King and Country |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Syntactic |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
10 |
9 |
Picking It Up |
15.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Smokem Ez |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Chasing Rain |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
8 |
Lone Scout |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Dark Marcus |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Supermax |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Midnight Mojo |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
98 |
Cupid’s Crusader |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Kelly’s Out (IRE) |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sweet Laker |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
True Patriot |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Amelia Bleu |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Golden Temper |
12.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leopardess (GB) |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
English Danger |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beautiful Janet |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady Mary Lou |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sabres |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
10 |
Top Gun Tommy |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Smarty Nose |
30.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’m a Lucky Man |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ultimate |
2.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kell’s Bells |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crypto Craze |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Cajun Brother |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
13 |
11 |
Yes He Can |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Man Overboard |
6.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
6 |
El Diablo Rojo |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Gypsy Lynn |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
98 |
Worth Looking |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
98 |
This Is a Joke |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Code Duello |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Proof He Rides |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beer Can Man |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tigerhon (FR) |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Agency |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mubtadaa |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Zoffarelli (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Panic Alarm (IRE) |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Roll On Big Joe |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Charge for Gold |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sigiloso |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Arromax |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
10 |
Kobe W |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
8 |
Westeros |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uplift |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Winsitwell |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Crown Prosecutor |
30.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Stephortless |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flying Blind |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eddie’s Wave |
3.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
War On the West |
30.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
13 |
12 |
L Squared |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
Classic Alphie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
98 |
Halverson |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
13 |
Devilnthebluegras |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.