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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 5, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aj Taylorsyawlsboss 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Cecilia Jess Blue 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Thisbcanfly 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sizzlin Hearts 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 B the Vision 3.00 5 10-1
3 3 Logans Tee Cos 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Patriot Mountain 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Karlon Charles 4.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Jess Ray Ray 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Hesa Crazy Storm 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jrs Shiney Majestic 2.50 6 11-1
2 2 Deep Diamond Tm 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Courageous Cartel 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Metole Pick Pocket 1.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Grand Deception 8.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Dlj Rosa Eagle 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 B All In 4.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Mawnees Faith 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Lady Dream Pie 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Da Man N Da Moon 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sue Nahmi 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kp Talkofthetown 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 My Lil Blue Beauty 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Open Pickles 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dash N Memory 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Mean Tweet 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Haute Commoditi 4.50 5 9-1
6 6 Mda Imperial Runaway 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Inseperable Jet 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Jj Nanos Meteorite 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sarayu 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Paper Route Frank 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Zoomin in My Wagon 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Streakin by Tha Moon 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Dark Eagle 3.50 5.4 10-1
6 6 Jtf Cuervo 12.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Rogue Angel 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 A Corona Moon 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 The Temptress 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Rh Querido Ruperto 4.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Mine That Bird 4.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Jessa Boss 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mr Commander 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Five Star Chick 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Perry Lou Cartel 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fireballs Deluxe 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Achieve All 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Apolitical Jess 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hot N Spicy Baby 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Pop Pop Rabbit 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Ruse Hint 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Mrs Cartier 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Elliots Moon Eagle 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Little Moon Darling 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Sheaza Hero 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mda Wild Corona Eyes 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Run for the Prize 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Da Miller Lite Man 4.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Rogues Fast Prize 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 Lil Heza Blue 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Gold Heart Queen 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I Can Fly 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Tf Itsy Bitsy Jess 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Apollitical Kate 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Run On First Down 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Only Contender 4.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Say When Kr 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Tf Heza Streaker 8.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 One Relentless Jet 5.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Lz Hennessy 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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