Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Ade |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vicki Vale |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Uptown Miss |
10.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ferociousness |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
So Much Jazz |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Seven’s Magic |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rose Gold Candy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Risk and Regret |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Living in Style |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lovely Liza |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boh’s N O’s |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nucci |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Lancer |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Strategy Queen |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Cora’s Choice |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Winged Foot |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sagrada Ray |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Big Beautiful Wall |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Petit Fils (FR) |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Samyaza |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Eye On the Candy |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mt Suribachi |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Borgobythesea |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saponara |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Barleewon |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Bold Medication |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lookin for Justice |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Titoschangedmyluck |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grace Reformed |
1.80 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mo Traffic |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Prize Debate |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maximum Emily |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Survival Rose |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Hopesndreams |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Delta Charm |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Momma Kim |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Reassess |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bunny Hop |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Obstreperous |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sassy Babe |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Volatility |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kiss Me Hardy |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Joya Del Sur |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Social Lady |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ragtime Belle |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Divine Grace |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Go Margie Go |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
American Memories |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Work Hard |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zevon |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Romantic Lead |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Final Opportunity |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Aft |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bayou Justice |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Burden of Proof |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Haizum |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Winterfell |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
St Pete’s Passion |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Takeschargesmiling |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Super Constitution |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Brother Showtyme |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bold Honor |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Battle of Bastogne |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wesley Thomas |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dublshotofcourage |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rumpusinthesky |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.