Site icon Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Code Enforcer 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shadow Man 1.80 2.1 4-1
7 7 Major Cam 4.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Shouldhavebeengone 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Wilkinson Warrior 20.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lucky Lucky Luke 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Food Foodie 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Connelmaura 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Luli’s Dancer 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 That’stony’ssister 4.00 2 4-1
4 4 Secret Temptation 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Gormley Girl 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Road to Dreams 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chasing Stardom 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sueno Profundo (ARG) 10.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Go East 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Warrior’s Vow 1.80 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tiempo Perfecto 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Sir Cupid 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Six Whips 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Boom Boom Kaboom 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Captain Chazz 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Petulant Delight 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 The Angry Man 3.50 4 7-1
5 5 Pylon 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fast Mule 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Bucks Some 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Good Penny 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 A Bit Bad N Boujee 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 More Ransom 2.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Cici Unified 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Creme Caramel 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 First Squad 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Starlord 2.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Exclusive Dancer 10.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 I Can Do Magic 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Why Stop There 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Heat Alert 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 End the Violence 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Easy Day 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 He’s Incredible 5.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Geebert 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Dark Timber 3.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Ninja Prize 6.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Leader of Men 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Enforcer 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Harry’s Onthebeach 12.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Disturbed 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sir Mi Tolee 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bobby’s Candy 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Carbonite 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Game Seven 3.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Savage Dragon 5.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Dos de Oros 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sister Supream 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ree Nee’s Six 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Valiant Majesty 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Aruma 6.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Undici 4.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Summer’s Gift 2.50 7.3 14-1
8 8 Peach Pass 10.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Clout Chaser 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Visual Artist 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Trending Up 4.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 El Hermano 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Ahsad 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Jacohare 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Grand Pick 8.00 5 9-1
6 6 Super John 15.00 6 11-1
9 9 Smart and Fast 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Social Group 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Long Gray Line 20.00 10 19-1
8 8 Mega Charlie 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version