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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Brit’s Candyman 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Bright Forecast 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Red Devolution 4.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Senate Chamber 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Awesome Prince 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Jack Beanstalk 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 We B Shackin 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Chrome Heir 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Midnight Getaway 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bounty Killah 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Zippy Do Da Day 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Victoriousvictoria 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Short Ship 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Golden Boss Lady 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Grace Is Golden 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 One Violent Affair 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Bravo Regina 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Ziffy Bug 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Lady Aethelflaed 2.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Ritz On Broadway 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Ms. Lady T 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Shaymyname 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hollywoodland 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Time Is Magic 4.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Sissinghurst 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Star Anise 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Tuck Check 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Martynas’ Joy 15.00 4.5 8-1
12 12 Sister Sola 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Queen Rocket 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 La Fantasma 15.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Smashing 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Reppazz 15.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Gate Song 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 You’re the One 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Take Charge Chloe 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Kitty’s Pretty 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Old Bay 1.80 4.5 9-1
4 4 Boss Like Beth 10.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Arch Street 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wicked Finn 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Laytown 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Uninvited Guest 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Celestial Moon 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Napoleon’s War 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Silver Style 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Star Shopping 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Awesome Flay 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 What Does It Take 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Pappy’s Revenge 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Lord Berrier 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Afraidofthebunny 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Collection Day 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Steady John 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Carentan 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Baltasar 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Sainthoodforbrian 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Court Contender 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Bar Down Express 5.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cash Now 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Mogalu 10.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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