Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Military Road | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stop the Press | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elko County | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Daily Grind | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Trumpet | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party With Smarty | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Horseplay | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marvelous Madison | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Mischief | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing Dakotah | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Grand | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Delilah | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forever to Go | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin to Rock | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Giant’s Audible | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classicals Finale | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Disco Star | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Teller to Win | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Concerti | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Goddess | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poseidon’s Mist | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Try It Again | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spiritual Lady | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starry Midnight | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson Avenue | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dolce Sera | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Heard On Thestreet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Bonne Chance | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Stormquist | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Midnight Express | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | October Bliss | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Paschal Moon | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Solo in Paris | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Manny Penny | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Giant’s Fire | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Venge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prerequisite | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Root Cause | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thegirlfromireland | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreaming of Mo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pallotta Sisters | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lifelovenlaughter | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quarrel | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Self Confident | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Toned Up | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sweetest Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Promiseher America | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ichiban | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mozambique | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Omaha Pistol | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of the Law | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Post | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Three B’s | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Vision | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ozzy | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Asset Management | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mobetterthangood | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brunch | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Corvus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Rock Star Rebel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miles and Miles | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friend Ofthe Devil | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twohonestmischief | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solar Glare | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rocked Out | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Free Dance | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dominican Pirate | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Buttah | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oath of Omerta | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daytona Gold | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Harvey Pack S.) – Harvey Pack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Souper Quest | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Invasion | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arzak | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Front | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Our Shot | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mister Mmmmm | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smithwick’s Spice | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surveillance | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charging | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | It’s Hot in Here (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Surprenant Cocca | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Melody | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Next On Stage | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Status | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baroness Bourbon | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fantasy Performer | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tongue Twister | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | More Mango | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sweet Dutchess | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fast Kimmie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | La Vita Sofia | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | She’s Cool | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Save Us Melania | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sizzle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Hopeful S.) – Hopeful S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Studlydoright | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smoken Wicked | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferocious | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Catch | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chancer McPatrick | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mentee | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Innovator | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Incentive Pay | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Mendelslew | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Venencia (FR) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Collaboration | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Child of the Moon (FR) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Hi | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Determined Lilly | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mystifying | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beets | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Centuria (IRE) | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Rocket | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anileate | 50.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Do Gooder | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Firefoot | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Deck of Cards | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Broderie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Krystalheir | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Audacious | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dance On Air | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tour Jete | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bomb Squad | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pamplona Red | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dancin Jane | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lu’s Redemption | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cherbourg | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu’s Dynamite | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tone of Silence | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Laoban | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Coach Sessa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dubawi Wowie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sendera | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Starlight Dancer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Reya | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.