Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Hurricane Nelson |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wajda |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cuando |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Escondido |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Duration |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Montalcino |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Golden Gorilla |
10.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Masmak |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Love Tempo (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Good Long Cry |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Magenta |
8.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Opulent Restraint (IRE) |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Indeed |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nanananabooboo |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ashes and Diamonds |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Quoin |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bella Alessia |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady River Lily |
50.00 |
10.2 |
19-1 |
15 |
15 |
My Shot |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Margot’s Angel |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Golden Gamble |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Pediatric Princess |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Hampton’s Affair |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Alexis Zorba (GB) |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cigarette Boat |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yarrow |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Spirit’s Mischief |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Urban Legend |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Determined Effort |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Final Verdict |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sugar Gray Leonard |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brew Pub |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Printrack |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Tivy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Backside Buzz |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Korrongo |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
6 |
Waitlist |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
4 |
Cloud Forest |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smile Mon |
4.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Masterwork |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Unclecharliesgift |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Road Soda |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cavendish |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ice Time |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2B |
11 |
Eric From Miami |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Refuah |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
12 |
Crusading |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
7 |
Within View |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bourbon Calling |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Nolo Contesto |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Market Alert |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Critical Threat |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Classic Mark |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Charlie Five O |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Prince James |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sutton Breeze |
30.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Gangly |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Winter’s Ghost |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ski Country |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flashy Alex |
50.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mason Mania |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Adventurous Spirit |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Guile |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fire Baron |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
El Alacran |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Get It to Matthew |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fattoush |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Get Ready to Rock |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lcgolucky |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Bourbon Outlaw |
6.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hard Scholar |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Comanche Peak (GB) |
10.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smooth an Easy |
30.00 |
11.4 |
21-1 |
12 |
12 |
Hedge the Risk |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Skyler’s Artemis |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Vincita |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Ramesses |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Quickick |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
McKinzie’s Glory |
30.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scottish Lassie |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Snowyte |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
All the Feels |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Going Steady |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Soothe |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pure Beauty |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mitoleta |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Endless Vow |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Kalik |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dude N Colorado (GB) |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Paros |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Capture the Flag |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ruse |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tidal Forces |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tosen Wish (IRE) |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Marwad (GB) |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ever Dangerous |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Didinger |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Riot House |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mistical Curlin |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Classic Legacy |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mighty Madison |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
St. Benedicts Prep |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Signal From Noise |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Backyard Money |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Into Happiness |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Luna Moth |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ringy Dingy |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cupid’s Heart |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Royal Poppy |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
8 |
Set |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Run Curtis Run |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
3 |
Scuttlebuzz |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1A |
4 |
Maxwell Esquire |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
5 |
Seaver |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
7 |
Acoustic Ave |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
9 |
Rough Draft |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Boss Tweed |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
6 |
Russi |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
10 |
Big Prankster |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
11 |
Me ‘n Sap |
50.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Bernard Baruch S.) – Bernard Baruch S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Running Bee |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Taking Candy |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Steady On |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pioneering Spirit |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rebel Red (GB) |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beuys (IRE) |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fort Washington |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Film Star |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Phileas Fogg |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Jockey Club Gold Cup S.) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Highland Falls |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Arthur’s Ride |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Highland Falls |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapit Trice |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pyrenees |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kuchar |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Disarm |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bright Future |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Mama’s Middie |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Irie Man |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Neptune Beach |
15.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Four Eyes |
30.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Senegal |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Wild Nugget |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Triple Word Score |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Landauer |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Can’t Stand Disco |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ragazzo Diabolico |
15.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Tides |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Burn Rubber |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.