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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 1, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Super Sailor 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Moneylove 12.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 I Know I Know 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Big Boy Jak 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Enterdadragon 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Garrincha 10.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Calvino 30.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Complete Oneeighty 6.00 9.6 18-1
4 4 Dimanche Gras 8.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Messagefromtheking 20.00 11.9 22-1
7 7 Solo Me 20.00 12.5 24-1
13 13 Rocka Storm 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Animated 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mustang Bay 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiz Erin 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Take Your Point 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Harmony Abarrio 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Awesome Empress 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Black and Silver 20.00 5 10-1
4 4 Barbaresco Baby 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Holiday Pay 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Make It Big 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 One Sharp Cookie 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Saybrook 4.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Maptitude 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 El Principito 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Life Is Precious 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rancho Vista 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Solidaria 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Edith 2.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Goddess Soteria 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Money Bouquet 20.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Valiant Girl 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Chica Catholic 20.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Ms Abigail 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Daniel Sun 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Irwani (ARG) 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Uncle Armando 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Barry the Builder 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Uncaptured Boy 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Light Fury 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 You Talkin to Me 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Tiz the Bomb 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bayernee 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tinki Abarrio 4.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Sky Divine 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Beautiful Astray 20.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Cajunette 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Happy Bella 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 British Empress 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mywifeknowsitall 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Three Run Bolt 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Spirit of Victory 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Red Hot Spark 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Siljim 5.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Revolu 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Musthavebeenlove 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Baby Luck 12.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Our Fortune Cookie 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Alasdair 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Steeler Mischief 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Ambor Night 12.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Chromotion 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 T B Twelve Always 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Fenwick 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Downing Street 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Beach Party Bingo 1.40 1 2-1
8 8 Sweet Temptation 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Marshmallow Queen 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Stiletto Heels 4.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Qualificata 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Gallop d’Hermes 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Good Bright Flames 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 On the Nile 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Doorman 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Battle of Dover 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Beganingreenpoint 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Belly of Jelly 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Bold Advance 20.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Leopardi 20.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 American Speed 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 My Great Illusion 2.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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