Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whiskyginandbrandy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kalea Bay | 1.20 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bullard | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom’s Not Free | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Terry’s Service | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silverado Storm | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Its a Cinch | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Enjoy It Strait | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Wonders | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Explain This Audit | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Prince | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Catcher | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rimprotector | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fireman Dan | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Normandy Queen | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Simply Enchanting | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bolt d’Vine | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Normandy Queen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tam’s Little Angel | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aye Candy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catalina Cocktail | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Sushi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Sixpack | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Special Club | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Niner Gold | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Vronsky Style | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Travelin’ Show | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Refocus | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Petesoldfashioned | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Galland de Besos | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Erebus | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Project Leader | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Piper’s Causeway | 6.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mongolian Gold | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rowley | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Champ | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Palagio | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Russells Hustle | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Justify | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Power | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Navajo Warrior | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saltwater Cowboy | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buy the Rumor | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lil Richards Bello | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grape Nuts Warrior | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Law Abiding | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eyes On Target | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Man Friday | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hapi Hapi | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Birth of Cool | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hacking It Up | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cardiff Crack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mogollon Rim | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Shared Belief S.) – Shared Belief S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Muth | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | De’ Medici | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Imagination | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indispensable | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mc Vay | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pony Express | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wynstock | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby) – Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Formidable Man | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Hot | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Guy Named Joe | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atitlan | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Foot | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sketchy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Kaos | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden River | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Artist Point | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jarama | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cody Boy | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bart Sip Some | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nightbirde It’s Ok | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Last Call Paul | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chispa Roja | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mendelssohnszapper | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Son o’ Sanpete | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Royal Curlin | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Mystic Spirit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Uncle Happy | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cathal (IRE) | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tejon Pass | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Promissio | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | American Glory (GB) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Grogu | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kamaina Cruiser | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Simplexity (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Without Borders | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | The Rabbi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.