Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bold Appeal | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mizz Factor | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boss On the Run | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In a Mineshaft | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lil Knockout | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweetaslifecanbe | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daretocatchlove | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Along Came Thunder | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summertimee | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apple Seed | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Littleeurogirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Buzzinga | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Neutralize | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Girl in Red | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bulleit Rocks | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Doll | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natural Touch | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gee She’s Fancy | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Tap Dancer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just Chillin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kick It Again Bob | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bricktown Brown | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tap N Play | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yankee Indian | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Tink | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Slick City Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Long Legs | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seattle Wildcat | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Youneedtocalmdown | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Freely | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impudent | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Young Pope | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slew Skies | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Structured | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zed | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brilliant Spin | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Member | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Knative Knife | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Stef Hit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Leviathan Axe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wilbert | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sedaris | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Lover | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mega Bond | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoodoo Brown | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Crenshaw | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jade Empire | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oh Doo Dah Day | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Adorable | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Geometrique | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chainsaw City | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Mia | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Azusa Street | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Occurrence | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | In Open Court | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waylon’s Guitar | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Waylon’s Guitar | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Sunrise | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Last Moxy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cold Fact | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel Comply | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Tapiture | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Outta Austin | 6.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Chi Town Road | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Good Swimmer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit One Out | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Dollar | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Missing Code | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C B’s Flat Out | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Computation | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grandsonsam | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vienna Prize | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.