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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 31, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bad Hombre 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Duke of Dooly 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 7 Sidney’s Bid 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 Thename of Thegame 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bad Henry 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Sette Stelle 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sometimes I Do 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Gucci Man 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mat Matters 1.00 1 2-1
1 1 Carry Grant 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Toady Hopper 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Southern Pass Time 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Capitan George 8.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Johnny From Boston 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Brave Sand Rider 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Polterer 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Freedom Road 1.20 1.1 2-1
3 3 Conspiracy Fact 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Must Be Love 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Stacks of Silver 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 My Danny Boy 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ready to Rocknroll 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Nohai 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Vivy 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Maria Moon 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Hold On 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Nomoretanlines 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Sandy Girl 12.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Risk and Regret 10.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Backseat Romance 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 A Shawtown Girl 12.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Sweet and Feisty 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Lucky Flay 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Alyvia Mavis 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Curb 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arrow Speed 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Secret Zipper 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Quistmer 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Shellback 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Renewing Vows 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Mr Ramirez 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Arrogant Rider 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Return Fire 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Inbound 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Hoya 12.00 1.2 2-1
10 10 Nanga Parbat (GB) 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Scorestosettle 30.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Ship Master 20.00 6.6 12-1
12 12 Golden Al 20.00 8.3 16-1
13 13 Icandothat 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Starforce 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mungo 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Bourbon Express 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tabloid City 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 If I Were You 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gallant Creek 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Musical Design 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Black Ice 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Mavilus 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Arijana’s Pearl 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mo Tough 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 American Saint 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Big Bolt 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Tiz D Amazin Lady 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Miss Diz 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Lady Gabrielle 10.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Woke Up a Diva 12.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Lucky in Love 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Estrellis 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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