Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Faber | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nitrogen | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sluggernaut | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Accelerando | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Watsonville Red | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spiritual Man | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Wellington | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just On Time | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | April de Velp | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Tenacious | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egbert J | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Secret Gizmo | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hyper Awakening | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Xi | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chicago Typhoon | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Candid Candace | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | It’s a Fluke | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Egbert | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Town’s Warrior | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Dave | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Star | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream On Baby | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Passthepuddinpleaz | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Tourist | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Swaggish | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proven Strategies | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Small Talk | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmies Big Day | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salvator Mundi | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Blame J D | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mad Dog N Joe | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jamiesta | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Executive Search | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper River | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hayek | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dial a Cliche | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hekla’s Aura | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Morning | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | First Round Pick | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Practical Gizmo | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Krypto Gains | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tatoosonmysoul | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lillz Hope | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smiles for David | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Speedy Rose | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Golden Ghost (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love to Shop | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Personal Pursuit | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ecstasy | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pemberley | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Vision | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Strega | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kitten’s Romance | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bijou Baby | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Diosa Catrina | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ashbury | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Voice From Above | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Umneyaat | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mizzen Ash | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ondine Lady | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey N Ice | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princessonamission | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Good Joke | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Play | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Trustmydaddyissues | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Linda’s Opal | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reverse Psychology | 3.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Butterfly | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady With Attitude | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpha Gamma Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.