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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Incanto (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lough Currane 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jack’s Promise 15.00 3 6-1
8 8 Gate to Wire 2.00 4 7-1
9 9 Code of Justice 10.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Gene and Jude 4.50 6.4 12-1
6 6 Maui Strong 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Nod to Tran 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 I Got Game 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Tiz Dashing 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Richard Ave 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Scythian 3.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Man of Mischief 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Iron Max 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Shakeitforthebird 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Real Savvy 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Shoot the Waves 15.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Twelve Nelson 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Mossad 10.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Powered by Coal 20.00 10.9 21-1
14 14 Jack and Jim 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 I’m Due 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Just Licorice 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sounds Like a Plan 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Leftembehind 0 0-1
3 3 Neural Network 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mighty Atlas 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bossmakinbossmoves 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Cut the Cord 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Leftembehind 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Wild Banker 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Dillinger 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Show Time 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 5 Bramito 2.50 2.9 5-1
1A 8 Tommy Two Socks 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 Turn Up the Trees 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Neuschwanstein 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Very Stormy 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Magnificent Mile 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Pam Pam 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Backstretch Rose 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 Miss Lao 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Alley’s Song 30.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Pitch Clock 1.40 SCRATCH
3 3 Devil Blue Dress 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ten Ten 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Blenheim Baby 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Saranac S.) – Saranac S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 West Hollywood 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Take Me To Church (IRE) 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Villain 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 The Big Torpedo 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Yo Daddy 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 The Process 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Proprietary Trade 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Campaign Champagne 15.00 1 2-1
5 5 Blue Eyed Scout 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Very Cosmopolitan 4.50 1.5 3-1
9 9 Divine Works 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Gaga’s Hamsome 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bouvier 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bourbon Blanket 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Another Cleeshay 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Chicazteca 15.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Central Casting 8.00 5.6 11-1
12 12 Cantafio 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Melle Mel 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Orie 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Trinity River 8.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 High Water Mark 20.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Dark Magic 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 National Archive 3.50 5.1 10-1
10 10 Deemer 4.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Calvin’s Ride 8.00 6.1 11-1
6 6 Smooth Breeze 8.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Big Brown Delivers 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Dignified Response 10.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Leon Blue 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Brunch 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Nonno Joe 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dominican Pirate 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Practically Summer 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Off Script 1.40 2.2 4-1
4 4 Lightning Mama 15.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Early On 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 3 Moonlight Gal 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Kay Cup 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Valtellina 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Blakely’s Wish 12.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Olivia’s Wish 30.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 C C Roulette 15.00 8.4 16-1
2 1 Bernieandtherose 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Twilight Tango 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Endless Vow 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Improbable Journey 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Emirates Road 4.50 2.9 6-1
7 7 Cool Operator 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Harvard 8.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 That’s Money 12.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Eirik Ridge 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Watasha 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Warrior Richard 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Principe d’Oro 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 Two for Charging 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chileno 1.20 SCRATCH
3 3 Catire Vizcaya 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hurricane Debbie 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Candi Girl 4.50 1.2 2-1
6 6 Laconia 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 U Should B Dancing 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Tipsy Runner 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Shaman Princess 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Linarite 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Call Me Penny 30.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Kaymus 15.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Roman Goddess 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Answer the Call 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Daybright Delights 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 New York Scrappy 2.50 1.5 3-1
10 10 Six Fortyfive 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Charles J 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hard Par 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Kid Kreesa 8.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Sebastianthe First 6.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Oreno 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Dillon 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 The Manticore 50.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Can’t Stand Disco 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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