Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Searchin Safari | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wrinkle Road | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wristband | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clinton Quarintino | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Send Off | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Suppose You Dream | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cole Trickle | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Holcombe | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Saturdays | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Take Flight | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Singing Dixie | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriotic Duty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chelsea Dagger | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barefoot Samurai | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Georgia Deputy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | R Doc | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crooked Fellow | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bread Winner | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johan Zoffani (IRE) | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Resolutionist | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ronald Dale | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Yvonne’s Miss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Two Hands Full | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Da Candy Cane | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chive Up | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Morena | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Tub Hottie | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Derby Day Lassie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smackdown | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adger | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fontes | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Legend’s Journey | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lone Tree | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Painted Lad | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Apuro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ammenthedestroyer | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forty Strangers | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Slew’s Liaison | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | He’s All Ears | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mingus | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | True Dominus | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sara’s Shaman | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | General Shipman | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Safarinfas | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Cut | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Team Gormley | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Monte Carlo | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Storms Last | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Forever Safe | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Karat Cake | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Shortys Girl | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kara | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | County Slugger | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miz Rithym | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joyful Image | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commandeeress | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Angel in the Air | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Ama | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Palacein | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appropriated Funds | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Faith Alone | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thetruthisthetruth | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madamoussepousse | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peek Factor | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.