Site icon Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 30, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nanci Griffith 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cameron Slough 1.40 2.2 4-1
5 5 Marinas Tina (IRE) 10.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Dorie Miller 1.80 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sweet Vengeance 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 One Arrow 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Epione 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fly At Knight 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Annie Fox 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Thirst for Passion 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Play My Speed 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Practical Dazzle 3.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Orange Thunder 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Amelia’s Echo 8.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Warm Reception 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Tequilaandtherapy 3.50 2.6 5-1
9 9 Grazen Gator 2.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Renatus 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Abbey Theatre 12.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 How About Pavel 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Long Legged Babs 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Chilly Philly 15.00 6.1 11-1
12 11 Mrazek’s Old Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
11 98 Hearts Fantasy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Stein’s Girl 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sweet Hello 4.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Aloha Kitten 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 6 Dorine’s Wild Cat 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Soul of a Warrior 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 98 Flatterwithjewels 0.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Persuasive Lips 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Far Over Loaded 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cali Cat 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Giant Luther 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Call Me Sir 1.60 3.8 7-1
7 7 Escape Plan 30.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 King of Dragons 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Chasin a Dollar 12.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Far Western 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Uncle Evco 4.50 6.7 13-1
1 1 Valentines Candy 30.00 8.9 17-1
13 13 Speedy Wilson 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sevak 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Johnson’s Magic 2.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Prince Dolce 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gate to Paradise 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Seismic Beauty 0.60 1.9 4-1
4 4 Affair 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Dashingly 20.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Crimson Sonata 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Nafisa 4.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Current Affair 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Rich of Joy 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Belmont Bill 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Sanger 5.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Rhythem On Stage 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 King and Country 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Devil Among Us 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Western Grit 3.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 New York Dreams (GB) 10.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Des Doigts 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Shes Just Fluffy 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Class Clown 2.50 2.9 5-1
9 8 Anybody’s Choice 12.00 3.1 6-1
11 10 Barbera 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Dr. Ray D. 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Just Is 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 6 Princess Magic 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Solid Tune 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Ryder’s Candy 15.00 SCRATCH
4 98 Gila 0.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Deficit Maja 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version