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Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Air Cav Piloto 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Jj Sir Runaway 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Jess Tiz an Ocean 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Game Little Wagon 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Fast Too Lunch 6.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Kashazoom Allure 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Memphis Badboy 10.00 6 11-1
2 2 Cheaper Than Gas 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Unbethlievable 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Legendary Aj 2.50 1 2-1
10 10 Lynns Piloto Magic 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 M This Game Is Fire 6.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Sweet Lady Jess 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Happy Our Special 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Thats My Cache 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Marygold Cartel 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Jessadifferentdolly 20.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Harvest Moone 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Maryjanes Relentless 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Po Luckie 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sizzlin Grace 5.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Mp Saint Pat 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Matti Jambalaya 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Jess Back the Blue 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Zoom All by Myself 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Honkytonk Truth 8.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Pool Zone 12.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Rf One Famous Blue 12.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Bar Money Cartel 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ks Eagle Quick 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Aguila Buchona 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Happy Dad 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Amtrack 6.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Predestinado 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Lady Mafia 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tee Irish Jameson 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Eagle Eye Leaving U 6.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Paint Me Jessa 12.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Fast Dashin Lou 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grand Hercules 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 I Cartel 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Sheza Money Train 6.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Back Country 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Aj Champion Legacy 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Shaylenne 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Fabulous Caroline 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Tf Mady Rae 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Oh Cosino Fast 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jm Friday 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Full Vision 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Zoomin Dash 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Mr Secret Lee 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Jm Tee Cos Mon Coeur 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Quick Ladys Cash 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Apollitical Frosty 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ripping Rio 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Unleash 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 8 De Bell Train 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Zoomin Tee 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 American Streakin 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Majestic Eye Opener 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rogue Effort 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Lias Deluxe 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Sheza Rare Blood 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mp Thornado 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Hemp N My Corona 4.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 C C Girl 12.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Ovation 4.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Alcala Perry 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mp Sixy Silhoutte 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jrs Majestic Pop Pop 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Eagle Speed 20.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 The Reserve 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Chiquita Bonita 0 0-1
9 9 Sonjas Stellar Luna 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Eagles Reward 12.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Chiquita Bonita 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Blood N Coronas 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Hard Ninety 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Mojito Time 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Baby Blue Corona 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 A Pollitical Baja 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Rb Lacys Dynasty 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Freedom Ride 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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