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Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 29, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chasing Kat 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bessie Coleman 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Lovely Idaho 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Naturally Blonde 3.50 4.3 8-1
7 7 Hallelujah High 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Annabelle’s Smile 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Only Reputation 10.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 The Fence 20.00 6.6 13-1
11 98 Practical Dazzle 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Grainne O’Malley 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tiny Prancer 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Lady Monclaire 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lil’ Bit Bossy 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Princess Daddy 1.60 2.5 5-1
3 3 Knightwithlouis 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Promise Me Kat 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Faithful Truth 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Terry’s Boy 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Give Me the Lute 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Helladic 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Mister Iceman 12.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Hot Box 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Rachel’s Coach 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Commander (FR) 8.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Santos to Wilson 15.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Whatmakessammyrun 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Seismic Spirit (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Legitify (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mynumerouno (AUS) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Annie’s Hope 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Girlcanthelpit 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Queen Berkeley 3.50 5.3 10-1
9 9 In Your Life 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Pancho Barnes 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Hollywood Penny 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Pippa Philipa 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Round in Circles 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Stormy Gal 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mega Moon 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Ferrariano 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Battle Call 5.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Incredible Shot 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 John Dunbar 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Flint Stroll 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Tom and Jazzy 20.00 7 13-1
3 3 Kimmer 30.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Yacowlef (IRE) 5.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 One Summer Day 20.00 1 2-1
9 9 Well Funded 5.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Bolt’s Broad 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Cavalieri 1.60 3.6 7-1
3 3 Petite Ange 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Accuracy 2.50 6 11-1
8 8 Tiznow Mama 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Philippa 10.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Scarlet Avenue 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Escape Artist 10.00 1 2-1
8 7 Watsonville 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Mi Hermano Ramon 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Air Force Red 15.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cabo Spirit 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Packs a Wahlop 4.50 4 8-1
9 8 Sumter 5.00 4 8-1
4 98 War At Sea 0.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Almendares (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Runamileinmyshoes 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Smiling Lady 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Stop Digging 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Professors’ Pride 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Whimsical Heir 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Dendera 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Blazing Bardot 30.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Tecumseh Caroline 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Miz Clubcali 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Nothing Is Forever 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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