Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Chasing Kat |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bessie Coleman |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lovely Idaho |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Naturally Blonde |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hallelujah High |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Annabelle’s Smile |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Only Reputation |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Fence |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
11 |
98 |
Practical Dazzle |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Grainne O’Malley |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Tiny Prancer |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
Lady Monclaire |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Lil’ Bit Bossy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Princess Daddy |
1.60 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Knightwithlouis |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Promise Me Kat |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Faithful Truth |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Terry’s Boy |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Give Me the Lute |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Helladic |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mister Iceman |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hot Box |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rachel’s Coach |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Commander (FR) |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Santos to Wilson |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Whatmakessammyrun |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Seismic Spirit (IRE) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Legitify (IRE) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Mynumerouno (AUS) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Annie’s Hope |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Girlcanthelpit |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Berkeley |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
In Your Life |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pancho Barnes |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hollywood Penny |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pippa Philipa |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Round in Circles |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stormy Gal |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Mega Moon |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ferrariano |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Battle Call |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Incredible Shot |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
John Dunbar |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flint Stroll |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tom and Jazzy |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kimmer |
30.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yacowlef (IRE) |
5.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
One Summer Day |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Well Funded |
5.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bolt’s Broad |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cavalieri |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Petite Ange |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Accuracy |
2.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiznow Mama |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Philippa |
10.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scarlet Avenue |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Escape Artist |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
7 |
Watsonville |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mi Hermano Ramon |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
4 |
Air Force Red |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cabo Spirit |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Packs a Wahlop |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sumter |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
98 |
War At Sea |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Almendares (GB) |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Runamileinmyshoes |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smiling Lady |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stop Digging |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Professors’ Pride |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whimsical Heir |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dendera |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Blazing Bardot |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tecumseh Caroline |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miz Clubcali |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nothing Is Forever |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.