Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hawkesbury | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ottawa | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gilt Edge | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rolling Along | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Proud Ronin | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Future | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alley Oop Johnny | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Talk | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Rose for Raven | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taranto Titan | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mehlek | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Steak and Cheese | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Whisper | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hank Ollie | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colchester | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Notorious Gangster | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coco Cool | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crucial Taunt | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Buzz | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Megalodon | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Ride | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Temple Hall | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Town | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Souper Watson | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Sunday | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Have It My Way | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stayhonor Goodside | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legal Catch | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fan Club | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luckman | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grande Soiree | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Algoma S.) – Algoma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Teddy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vandoo | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just Follow Me | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Samurai | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tabloid Material | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | You Be the Judge | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Magnificent | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Elgin S.) – Elgin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Junior Hot Shot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Commander | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Garofoli | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Yacht Boy | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cooler Man | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Criminal Intent | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valyrian Sky | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Speedeeman | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | If You Insist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Vice Regent S.) – Vice Regent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Kid | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Reserve | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light the Lamp | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mason’s Gamble | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockcrest | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy Send Money | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forester’s Fortune | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Muskoka S.) – Muskoka S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Soupergirl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Supreme | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skylight Caper | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tabei | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess of Storm | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Serious Green | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Periwinkle | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Love to Win | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancin Mary Marie | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scary Speedy | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Simcoe S.) – Simcoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kokomo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kekoa | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Charted Map | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scorching | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lover Boy Mo | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiernan | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Carnew | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Rainbow | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shadow Realm | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Magic Power | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasing Memories | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flirting With Fire | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boston Tea Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hunt Master | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twin City | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clayton | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fighter in the Win | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Palio | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Crime | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poulin in O T | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blast in the Snow | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Grey | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tutti Contenti | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stoke the Fire | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rideau Hall | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Empire | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Apophis | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Adversity | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Weller Green | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Political Warfare | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Highland Blue | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.