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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 25, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Seeking The Ante S.) – Seeking The Ante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carmen’s Candy Jar 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Accelerating 1.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Trail of Gold 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Central to Success 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Bellacose 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Swift Magic 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Killybegs Kid 20.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Calling Card 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Annexperience 2.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Blameitonthestones 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 More Therapy 4.50 6.8 13-1
4 4 Doomed 6.00 7 13-1
9 9 Epitaph 15.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Brimsley 30.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Joevia’s First 20.00 7.8 15-1
14 14 Burning Munny 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Rocked Out 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Twohonestmischief 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Daytona Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sounds Like a Plan 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Shakeitforthebird 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Barese 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Elysian Meadows 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Bourbon Chase 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 6 Silver Satin 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Dr. Kraft 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 7 Pompous Prince 12.00 3.9 7-1
1A 5 Daufuskie Island 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (West Point H. Presented By Trustco Bank) – West Point H. Presented By Trustco Bank

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Spirit of St Louis 0.50 1 2-1
5 5 Jerry the Nipper 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dakota Gold 6.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 City Man 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Itsallcomintogetha 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Albany S.) – Albany S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pandagate 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Doc Sullivan 1.60 1.6 3-1
1 1 Aggelos the Great 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Liberty Central 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 B D Saints 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Skyler’s Starship 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Charlotte’s Heart 0 0-1
7 7 Tahila 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Charlotte’s Heart 3.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Infastuation 15.00 10.1 19-1
8 8 Perugia 8.00 10.1 19-1
11 11 Kyla’s Kause 8.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Vino Paella 15.00 10.6 20-1
6 6 Froghollowsummer 20.00 10.6 20-1
9 9 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 10.00 10.9 21-1
5 5 Sunshine Theft 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Grace and Grit 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Kay Cup 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Wild Mischief 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Deflection Point 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Blue Eyed Scout 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Serious Lady 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Bourbon Blanket 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 11 Busy Morning 6.00 1 2-1
11 9 Roagna 6.00 2 4-1
3 1 Lady Jasmine 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 12 Kannon Fire 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 5 Island Fox 4.50 4 8-1
4 2 Starts Now 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 4 She Takes Cash 15.00 5 9-1
14 14 Chasing Daylight 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Gram 10.00 5.6 11-1
12 10 Midnight Concerto 4.50 6 11-1
5 3 Jannie Mae 50.00 6.3 12-1
8 6 Let’s Connect 30.00 8.8 17-1
1A 16 Silent Melody 6.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Lakeside Getaway 3.50 SCRATCH
2B 15 Tongue Twister 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Alley’s Song 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Fleet Indian S.) – Fleet Indian S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Landed 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sweet Brown Sugar 12.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Dolomite 5.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Caldwell Luvs Gold 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 My Shea D Lady 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Maggy’s Palace 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Call Her Bluff 20.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 My Mane Squeeze 1.60 SCRATCH
3 3 Bernietakescharge 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Funny Cide S. Presented By Rood & Riddle Equine Hospital) – Funny Cide S. Presented By Rood & Riddle Equine Hospital

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mo Plex 0 0-1
10 10 Mo Plex 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Smilensaycheese 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 The Toner 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 In the Chase 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Soontobeking 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 McDiesel 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Mi Bago 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bostontonian 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Friday Surprise 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Under Who’s Radar 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Yaddo H.) – Yaddo H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Whatlovelookslike 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Moonage Daydream 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Silver Skillet 1.60 1.5 3-1
9 9 Marvelous Maude 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Stonewall Star 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Venti Valentine 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lisa’s Vision 20.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Spinning Colors 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Snowy Evening 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sainte Chapelle 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Capital Spending 3.50 1.3 2-1
10 10 Bobby M’s Girl 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Autumn 5.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 North End Lady 4.50 1.8 3-1
11 11 Top of the Table 20.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Starsinthecity 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Gallant Greta 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Luna Patina 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 In All My Dreams 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Addagirl Addie 30.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Sinead 10.00 8.5 16-1
13 13 She’s a Natural 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Malibu’s Dynamite 50.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Dubawi Wowie 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tour Jete 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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