Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Panyard Tap | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desrochers | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ontario Holiday | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Bonanza | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Deshambo | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glorious Revenge | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cheap Speed | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Left in My Dust | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seattle Sunrise | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Veery | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lois Len | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Eva | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gabby Squared | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cleomenes | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spider Belle | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blazing Sky | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hard to Capture | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ready for a Fight | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legal Attack (GB) | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s Fully Loaded | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Commander Joe | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jmr Speedy Escape | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Banker’s Hours | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always a Way | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lucys Child | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yorkville | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | War in Charge | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Smoke | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Patrolman | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bearing Down | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fabelman | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Under Surveillance | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maticulant | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Almasty | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Calusa Donnie | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar It’s Eli | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mobula | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dewolf | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Test | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Graal Cheval | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Drop Your Gloves | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Commander Worsley | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Compton | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hundred Percent | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled Weather | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glintindaddyseye | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Baptist Billy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sluggernaut | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catch the Drift | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Laundry (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Sky | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Why Em Sea Ay | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Painted Glory | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midsummer Mo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lillz Star | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lemon Sweets | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Timber | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Like That | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Time | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winterberry | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Foxtastic | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Afleet Flatter | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Cash Factor | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wellness | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | North York | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Drexel Hill | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nicki Is a Breeze | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arctic Velocity | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Strike a Chord | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Retail Therapist | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empty Gesture | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cardio Princess (JPN) | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fourfiftyfour | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Eleanor | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blameless Ghost | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Image | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Go With Gusto | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Handed (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Valour | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nantuckets Day | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shakshuka | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heliocentric | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Selemene | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rush to Glory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Design Diva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Seaway S.) – Seaway S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nom de Plume | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time Passage | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ticker Tape Home | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gal in a Rush | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Metaphysical | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swall | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tito’s Calling | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pleasure’s Gold | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Owen’s Tour Guide | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Macha | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talk to Ya Later | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Fighting Irish | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Empire’s Treat | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dare to Be King | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catholic Jackie | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vini Vidi Vici | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blondina’s Boy | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Paradise Perfect | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Bitten | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Whiskey Row | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quandale | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Montjeu | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.