Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Geopolitics |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Calling an Audible |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Empire Magic |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Paulas Star Sister |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Steal the Rhythm |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tizallmine |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Funny Forecast |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Blue Suede Sue |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Vesting (IRE) |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Green Light |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spirit Prince |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Donegal Momentum |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cinder Block |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crystal Quest |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tifareeh |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Main Beach |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Prince Colton |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Wine Collector |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
The Monopoly Man |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kerouac |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Topic Changer |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Front Man |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lord Flintshire |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Addicted to You |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Debate |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Write Off Jerry |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
American Grant |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Paynter’s Prodigy |
50.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Impulsive Spending |
50.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Feathers Road |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Strapped |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Banishing |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Can’t Hush This |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strava |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Duke of Gloucester |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Costa Terra |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Arro Smash |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jace’s Road |
3.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tudi Cielo |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1A |
7 |
Bring Theband Home |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
8 |
Mischievous Angel |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mid Day Image |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
2 |
Biz Biz Buzz |
1.40 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Runningwscissors |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
10 |
Twenty Six Black |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vacation Dance |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
9 |
Fauci |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
14 |
15 |
Cees Get Degrees |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ruse |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
14 |
Excellent Timing |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
11 |
Mister Mmmmm |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
12 |
Thrill of It |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Charging |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
13 |
Lark’s Mischief |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Hands of Time |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thunder Roll |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dew |
20.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Papiamento |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
5 |
Insubordination (IRE) |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chanticleer |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Zuniga |
4.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
3 |
2 |
Bolt to Run |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
2 |
1 |
Strategist |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mortal Lock |
20.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
States’ Rights |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
13 |
Flying Mohawk |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Academy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
14 |
Tharhom |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Tip Top Thomas |
|
0 |
0-1 |
8 |
8 |
C K Wonder |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shot in the Dark |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Freaky |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tip Top Thomas |
3.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Keewaydin |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Discotheque |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sovereignty |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rookie Card |
4.50 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mizzou |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Outta Money |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ripped |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Final Denile |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clear Conscience |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Willintoriskitall |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rhetorical |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Teta’s Trotter |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Rabaja |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sonic Speed |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Slapintheface |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miracle Mike |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whistler’s Honor |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Final Denile |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Your Mission |
30.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Solo Empire |
50.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Two’s a Crowd |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Royal Browne |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Devil Or Angel |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Bob John Ray |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.) – Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Measured Time (GB) |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Silver Knott (GB) |
1.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grand Sonata |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Far Bridge |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pioneering Spirit |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Soldier Rising (GB) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Ballerina H.) – Ballerina H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Society |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Society |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vahva |
1.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Munnys Gold |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scylla |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chi Town Lady |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Positano Sunset |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shidabhuti |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Accede |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Forego S.) – Forego S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Mullikin |
|
0 |
0-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mullikin |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cagliostro |
4.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Full Screen |
20.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Twisted Ride |
15.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gun Pilot |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Angkor |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baby Yoda |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Run Classic |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.) – H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
World Record |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Timberlake |
5.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Prince of Monaco |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Little Ni |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Speak Easy |
8.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Otto the Conqueror |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Book’em Danno |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jefferson Street |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vettriano |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Domestic Product |
4.50 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Reynolds Channel |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Draftkings Travers S.) – Draftkings Travers S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Unmatched Wisdom |
|
0 |
0-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sierra Leone |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Unmatched Wisdom |
8.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thorpedo Anna |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fierceness |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dornoch |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Batten Down |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Corporate Power |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honor Marie |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Treaty Obligation |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Houlton |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Six Kings |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Prairie Dunes |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Glint |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Life |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dangerous Driver |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Beach Blanket |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Trumptastic |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Storm Ready |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Deputy Mischief |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Always Be Smart |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.