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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 24, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Geopolitics 0.80 1 2-1
1 1 Calling an Audible 5.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Empire Magic 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Paulas Star Sister 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Steal the Rhythm 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tizallmine 30.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Funny Forecast 50.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blue Suede Sue 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vesting (IRE) 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Green Light 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Spirit Prince 4.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Donegal Momentum 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Cinder Block 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Crystal Quest 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Tifareeh 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Main Beach 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Prince Colton 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wine Collector 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 The Monopoly Man 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kerouac 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Topic Changer 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Front Man 5.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Lord Flintshire 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Addicted to You 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Debate 8.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Write Off Jerry 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 American Grant 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Paynter’s Prodigy 50.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Impulsive Spending 50.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Feathers Road 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Strapped 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Banishing 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Can’t Hush This 2.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Strava 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Duke of Gloucester 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Costa Terra 3.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Arro Smash 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Jace’s Road 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tudi Cielo 0 0-1
1A 7 Bring Theband Home 1.40 1 2-1
7 8 Mischievous Angel 4.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Mid Day Image 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 2 Biz Biz Buzz 1.40 2.2 4-1
6 6 Runningwscissors 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 10 Twenty Six Black 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Vacation Dance 30.00 7 13-1
8 9 Fauci 20.00 10.1 19-1
14 15 Cees Get Degrees 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ruse 20.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Excellent Timing 2.50 SCRATCH
10 11 Mister Mmmmm 12.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Thrill of It 5.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Charging 12.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Lark’s Mischief 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Hands of Time 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Thunder Roll 6.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Dew 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Papiamento 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 5 Insubordination (IRE) 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Chanticleer 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Zuniga 4.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Bolt to Run 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 1 Strategist 15.00 8.7 16-1
6 6 Mortal Lock 20.00 9.8 19-1
12 12 States’ Rights 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 13 Flying Mohawk 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Academy 8.00 SCRATCH
13 14 Tharhom 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Tip Top Thomas 0 0-1
8 8 C K Wonder 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shot in the Dark 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Freaky 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Tip Top Thomas 3.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Keewaydin 5.00 6 11-1
7 7 Discotheque 10.00 6 11-1
10 10 Sovereignty 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Rookie Card 4.50 6.5 12-1
4 4 Mizzou 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Outta Money 30.00 7.4 14-1
11 11 Ripped 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Final Denile 0 0-1
4 4 Clear Conscience 5.00 1 2-1
10 10 Willintoriskitall 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Rhetorical 2.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Teta’s Trotter 30.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Rabaja 10.00 3.4 6-1
13 13 Sonic Speed 12.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Slapintheface 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Miracle Mike 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Whistler’s Honor 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Final Denile 10.00 6 11-1
6 6 Your Mission 30.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Solo Empire 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Two’s a Crowd 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Royal Browne 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Devil Or Angel 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bob John Ray 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.) – Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Measured Time (GB) 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Silver Knott (GB) 1.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Grand Sonata 10.00 3 6-1
3 3 Far Bridge 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Pioneering Spirit 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Soldier Rising (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Ballerina H.) – Ballerina H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Society 0 0-1
4 4 Society 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Vahva 1.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Munnys Gold 10.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Scylla 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Chi Town Lady 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Positano Sunset 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Shidabhuti 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Accede 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Forego S.) – Forego S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mullikin 0 0-1
6 6 Mullikin 1.60 1 2-1
8 8 Cagliostro 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Full Screen 20.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Twisted Ride 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Gun Pilot 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Angkor 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Baby Yoda 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Run Classic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.) – H. Allen Jerkens Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 World Record 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Timberlake 5.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Prince of Monaco 4.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Little Ni 10.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Speak Easy 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Otto the Conqueror 20.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Book’em Danno 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Jefferson Street 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Vettriano 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Domestic Product 4.50 9 17-1
9 9 Reynolds Channel 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Draftkings Travers S.) – Draftkings Travers S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Unmatched Wisdom 0 0-1
2 2 Sierra Leone 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Unmatched Wisdom 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Thorpedo Anna 3.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Fierceness 3.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Dornoch 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Batten Down 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Corporate Power 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Honor Marie 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Treaty Obligation 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Houlton 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Six Kings 10.00 4 8-1
12 12 Prairie Dunes 6.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Glint 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Awesome Life 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Dangerous Driver 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Beach Blanket 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Trumptastic 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Storm Ready 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Deputy Mischief 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Always Be Smart 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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