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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 23, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spun Candy 6.00 1 2-1
7 7 Tiptop 15.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Senza Parole 3.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Stunner 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Ice Cream Boat 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Complex Secret 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Hay Evabody 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Alyeska 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Enigmatic 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Just Music 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Dazzy 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Thorny 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Elliptic 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Princess Becca 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Roman Goddess 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Punch the Clock 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shehanah 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Harry Hood 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Born Dancer 12.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Be Like Clint 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Hunt Ball 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Union Trail 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Brees 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Classic Creation 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 El Rezeen 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Paddington 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rocket Can 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Winit 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Power Seeker 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Castle Chaos 3.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Big Blue Line 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Unbridled Bomber 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Untreated 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Smart N Fancy S.) – Smart N Fancy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roses for Debra 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Future Is Now 3.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Glitter Up 30.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lady Milagro 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Star Guest (GB) 4.50 6.6 12-1
8 8 Everyoneloveslinda 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Dontlookbackatall 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Munnys Gold 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Sendera 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Focus Pocus 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Miss Maximus 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Going for Glory 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Dream On Cara 12.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Rookie League 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Inflammabelle 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Sonia’s Flame 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Nikki Brainburst 8.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Maxing the Bank 30.00 7 13-1
3 3 Wicked Reya 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wild and Free 10.00 1 2-1
10 10 Leaner and Meaner 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Force of Law 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Pookie 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Our Prosperity 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Good Conduct 5.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Rare Art 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Tiz Her Money 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 American Justice 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Rescue Me 10.00 5.4 10-1
11 11 Yellow 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Hampton’s Affair 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Transactional (GB) 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Brigade Commander 6.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Union Express 10.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Dissolved 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Billy’s Got Issues 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Barnstorming 15.00 6.1 11-1
11 11 Image of Quality 20.00 6.1 11-1
10 10 Scat Tu Tap 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Heroneandonly 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Bramito 1.80 SCRATCH
5 5 Friday I’m in Love 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kick a Buck 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Skellig Island 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Mariachi 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Edified 5.00 1 2-1
2 1 Dilger (IRE) 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 6 Daufuskie Island 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Classify 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 11 Tivy 12.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Big City 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Forrest City 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 10 Notah 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Leddy 50.00 6.2 12-1
1A 9 Cold as Hell 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Personal Ensign S.) – Personal Ensign S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Idiomatic 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Randomized 1.60 2.8 5-1
1 1 Xigera 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Raging Sea 4.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Soul of an Angel 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Act of Congress 12.00 1 2-1
7 6 Mybronxbaby 8.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Aunt Yola 8.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Fabulous Fox 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Turriga 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Supers Lucky Lady 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Linarite 4.00 6 11-1
1 10 Quick Power Nap 12.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Delightful Dixie 6.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Bustin Bullet 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 My Cara Mia Mine 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lady Jasmine 30.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Honest Banker 30.00 SCRATCH
1A 16 Moonlit Weekend 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Ghostbustin 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Poseidon’s Mist 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 9 Time Stone 4.50 1 2-1
4 3 Strife 3.50 1.3 2-1
8 7 Patty Brown Eyes 20.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 Day Away 30.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Catalyzed (FR) 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Just So Pretty 15.00 5 10-1
2 1 Save Time 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Vina Arana (IRE) 6.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Silvology 12.00 5.8 11-1
1A 13 Pisciotta (GB) 4.50 5.9 11-1
3 2 Dazzling Cruiser 4.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Mon Chou Chou (FR) 30.00 8.7 16-1
13 14 Silver Moonlight 4.50 SCRATCH
9 8 Betula (GB) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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