Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Love | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eight Clap | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Always On Cay | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maximum Capacity | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haywood | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wherever You Are | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Letshaveonemore | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Margot’s Boy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hat Willie | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burnin Turf | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Evening Sun (GB) | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Castle Leoch | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whatmakessammyrun | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Altai | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | I’m Still in It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Smiling Amy | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bruins Mastery | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Max’s Maxine | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | High Flying Gracie | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Looks Lucky | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Morgan’s Bluff | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nicely Curved | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Runner | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Roses n’ Chrome | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Miss World Peace | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lord Dunmore | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hephepcutdownnets | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kale’s Angel | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cullen J | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Gold | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Grinnell | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Chuck | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solo Gano | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Farenheit O C | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nanci Griffith | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beauty N the Bolt | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A Toast to Lanie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Misty Muppet | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strikingly | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | September Magic | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Side by Side | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ruthless Rua | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Sailing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Santarena | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Oscar Joy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Running Spartan | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Mustache | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Osage Creek | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurricane Way | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Balthazar | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laugier Night (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chipper Me Timbers | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prosper | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oubabe | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Donner Lake | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Grazy | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brazenly | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be Punctual | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Logon to Win | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sareeha (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madiha | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Joker | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Mama Sue | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sky Maker | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inner Beauty (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chasingserendipity | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vronsky Feint | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zeyaraat | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harper’s Gallop | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 98 | Adelie (IRE) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.