Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Vehemente | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone Smuggler | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five G | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Magical | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | With the Angels | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Frankie Hiccups | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Willful Mama | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mischief | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Welch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Material Girl | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Ballston Spa S.) – Ballston Spa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gina Romantica | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Delahaye | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beaute Cachee (FR) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Surprisingly | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Amanda’s Folly | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hoosier Philly | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Coppice (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Glittering Lights (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sy B | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Time (FR) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Provocative | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justdeny | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | A New Peace | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Power and Glory | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crushed Ice | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Broughty Ferry | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Saffa’s Day | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Master of Arms | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Briterdayzahead | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Mister J T | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Commerce Comet | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Bronx Bomber | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joking Way | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Scaramanga | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mastermind | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Capone | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Three Zero | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Mile | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | For Some Reason | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Improbable Journey | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fortune’s Nephew | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Anthracite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Upside Potential | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Express Cruiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stingy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Teca | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mezcalifornia | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bisa | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Annie Goodbody | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Someone | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katerina Ristova | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luckforyou | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lotus Petal | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Authenticate Now | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bossy Dish | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Margo’s Margarita | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Central Avenue | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Headline Numbers | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Mystery | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Standoutsensation | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whocouldaskformo | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Camera | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fade to Grey | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disco Ball | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| Little Vic | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Disco Ball | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Gun It | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gulfport | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Kavod | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Little Vic | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Runninsonofagun | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Durante | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Major Blue | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Im Just Kiddin | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spooky Lady | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Princess | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Fool Me | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snowy Evening | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Solib | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bernt Again | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Racing Colors | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Amity Island | 50.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Echo in Eternity | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Overacting | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maggie T | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bernietakescharge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Shoe Lady | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Arrasou | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Salvadorena | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shop Lifting | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Out too Late (GB) | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chardan | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blackfoot Daisy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Precisely | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unhidden Gem (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seine | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Biles (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.