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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, August 21, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Protective 1.60 1 2-1
9 10 Elko County 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 1 Il Siciliano 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 9 Accidental Bid 10.00 8.9 17-1
3 2 The Jackal 8.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Artempus 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Vintage Vino 3.50 SCRATCH
7 8 De La Cruz 8.00 SCRATCH
1 4 Factor Analysis 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 6 Take Your Seats (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sacrosanct 0 0-1
3 3 Chasing Colton 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Joker On Fire 5.00 4 7-1
7 7 Bold Fortune 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Sacrosanct 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Brink 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Toga Life 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Scheduling Dude 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Powmissio 15.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Skytown 10.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Just Licorice 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (John’s Call S.) – John’s Call S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Six Minus 0 0-1
2 2 Andthewinneris 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cathkin Peak (IRE) 2.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Six Minus 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Curbstone 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Winning Spirit (GER) 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Foreign Relations 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Kuchar 1.40 SCRATCH
8 8 Costa Terra 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dai Vernon 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Accidental Hero 1.60 1 2-1
1 5 Six Percent 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Optic Way 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 7 Gut Feeling 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Goldini 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Lord Captain 20.00 4 8-1
7 8 Roman Empire 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 9 Daddy Knows 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Good Juju 2.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Curlin’s Wisdom 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 More Vino 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Ice Road 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Beary Funny 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Barrell Craft 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Dune Road 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Assertive Attitude 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Midnight Express 8.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Whitby 15.00 8.4 16-1
12 12 Jungfrau 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ranger Blue 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Paynter’s Prodigy 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bonne Chance 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Manny Penny 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Cha Cha Wren 0 0-1
10 10 Heavenly Light 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lookin to Rock 20.00 2.4 4-1
13 13 Open Flame 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Playful Lass 10.00 2.9 6-1
11 11 Mangetsu 8.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Cha Cha Wren 3.50 7.5 14-1
7 7 Speed and Beauty 20.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Silent Sandy 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Carae 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bryant and Cooper 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Grace and Grit 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Marvelous Madison 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 National Archive 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Runnin’ Ray 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 St Andrews 6.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Complete Agenda 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Lost in Rome 6.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Magnolia Midnight 8.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 It’s Viper 6.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Suerte 8.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Midnight Trouble 8.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 O P Firecracker 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Twisted Filigree 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Li’l Lang 4.00 3.6 7-1
13 14 On the Hill 2.00 4.2 8-1
9 10 Big Prankster 3.50 4.7 9-1
10 11 Empire Sky 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Limit Up 15.00 6 11-1
1A 7 Graywing 15.00 7.4 14-1
11 12 Volkert 10.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Heymackit’sjack 10.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Ripe for Mischief 50.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Scaramanga 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Street Rod 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Nano Man 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Your Man Alex 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Strengthnguidance 10.00 1 2-1
14 15 Tapwrits Temper 4.00 1.4 3-1
13 14 King’s Leap 5.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Sweet Fantasy 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 I’m Solo N in Love 15.00 5 9-1
6 5 Reteko 10.00 5.1 10-1
1A 13 Extraordinary One (GB) 12.00 5.7 11-1
10 9 Pacific Highway 20.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 Mythical Man 2.50 7.9 15-1
8 7 Salvation 10.00 9.3 18-1
11 10 Dignified Response 4.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Vamonos Vamonos 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Shoot the Waves 8.00 SCRATCH
12 11 America’s Honor 8.00 SCRATCH
1 12 Bright Angel (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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