Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Baytown Guvnah | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Social Hour | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Perfect Force | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Moment’s Notice | 1.40 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | McHale | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 2 | Sansone | 1.40 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Tiz Freedom | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Jonathan’s Way | 4.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Flat to Da Mat | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sam’s Rocket | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Valuation Metric | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asbury Park (GB) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Davy Crockett | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Policy Change | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Concord Green | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dragoneer | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hammerhead | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jerry’s Out | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Complex Agenda | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | West Beach | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Academy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Tharhom | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strategist | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Royal’s Pride (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nic’s Style | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benedetta | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girls Weekend | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belle of the Ball | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bandita | 1.20 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stop Giggling | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Killy Start | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Peak Earnings (GB) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Boss of All | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | River Tay (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Cruiser | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empires Princess | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valentine Gift | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hue | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Bourbon | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Six Pack Senorita | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Play Free Bird | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quiescent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ghostbustin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Turf Rocket | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bella Voce | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Thirsty Accountant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Find Your Joy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Macaw | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Salacious | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crusading | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ramesses | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Remember the Chief | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bounteous | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hours in a Day | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Luke | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vincita | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Glory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Smooth an Easy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bettrluckythangood | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Harry | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laurel Valley | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Big Blue | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agent Creed | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rough Draft | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maxwell Esquire | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Locke and Key | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sell Something | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Horse Be With You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Colloquy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shadow Dragon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Neural Network | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mighty Atlas | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Mondego (GB) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reckoning Force | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Freedom Trail | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cyber Ninja | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mendelssohns March | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Run | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Daunt | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dripping Gold | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lucky Curlin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 15 | St Andrews | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Costa Terra | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Dai Vernon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 13 | Duke of Gloucester | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Catch a Wave | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rocketeer | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Timeout | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Game Warden | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Digital Ops | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jackson Heights | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | D Day Sky | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cartucho | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bank Frenzy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Donegal Surges | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Django | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Lake Placid S. Presented By Caesars Sportsbook) – Lake Placid S. Presented By Caesars Sportsbook
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayosh | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 7 | 7 | She Feels Pretty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | De Regreso | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Love (IRE) | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grayosh | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spaliday | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ori | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gala Brand | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Camera | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Deep Satin | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Manama Gold | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Proctor Street | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lemon Muffin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Les Reys (FR) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Just Basking | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Just Basking | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Power Squeeze | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Intricate | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chatalas | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Candied | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Neon Icon | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Justify | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Squeeze | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Just Basking | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | America’s Vow | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unlimitedpotential | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Have You Heard | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yo Daddy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who’s the King | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pursuit of Power | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smile Mon | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storming Chrome | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Special Dispatch | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unstable Prince | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wind Ninety Nine | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heart of the Night | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Naughty Destiny | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barefoot Disco | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Thief | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Long Legged Queen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Executive Sweet | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | La Fiere | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Follow Your Arrow | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Duchessofnormandy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucy Playa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lonchura | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Good Mission | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.