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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Relentless American 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ct Walking Thru 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Ms Dashin Pilot 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Catchn Southern Rays 4.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Cr Freighttrain 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Famous Speedy One 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Rsecret Valentine 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gf Lady Gisele 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mw Kiss This 15.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Curls Dream Wagon 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Th Fabulous Kimbo 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Our Fab Secret 20.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Herestothebosslady 12.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Everest Beauty 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Lovepotionumber 9 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cindy Pop 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Iowa Stallion Derby) – Iowa Stallion Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ts Koko Inmyjeans 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 American Sparrow 3.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Rm Flyeasycash 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Windys Sweet Favorit 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Rio Winna 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Wonderment 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Joda Tempting Gravel 10.00 5 10-1
5 5 Trs Big Jake 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Ts You Got Allmycash 20.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Settin On Go 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (John Deere Prarie Meadows Juvenile Challenge) – John Deere Prarie Meadows Juvenile Challenge

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Anna Belle 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Valiant Candy Tree 4.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Kvn Good One 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 I Know You Know 5.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Isle B Bac 3.50 7.1 13-1
3 3 Flyn Agree 8.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Hondo Hocks 15.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Jrs Queen 12.00 9 17-1
9 9 Happy Wagon 15.00 9.3 18-1
8 8 Rockin the Train 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Swag 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Running Bayou 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sammy’s a Givine 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 War Echo 3.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 King of Swing 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Grey Storm 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Action Seeker 1.80 3.6 7-1
3 3 Koselio 6.00 4 7-1
5 5 Drifter 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Commander Rex 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Firing Line 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 American Sue 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Skylar’s Fire 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bit a Bad News 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Song of Praise 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Beth’swickedsmack 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jaysker 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Toska’s Ruler 1.60 1.9 4-1
6 6 Shut Up Man 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Secret Blarney 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 American Posse 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Frankly Epic 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Succession 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Late for Lunch 8.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 C R Insta Gator 1.80 3 6-1
1 1 Palace Guard 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ships On Fire 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tap the Brakes 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Preacher Man Sam 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ruling the Roost 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Wily Wade 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Savoya Return 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Five Won Five 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Gettistown 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Go Gorm Go 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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