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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 17, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One Way Traffic 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cactus 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Sir Lance 12.00 3 6-1
9 9 Tall Order 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Moncrief 3.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Boss Man J J 20.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Katie’s Notion 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Jumpingjaggerflash 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Burningupthedough 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cora’s Choice 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Frosty Maya 3.50 1.3 3-1
6 6 Storm Rate 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Blue Trillion 1.80 2.3 4-1
3 3 Skip Thru Da Fire 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Good Story 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kake’s Tap Dancer 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 She Is Invincible (GB) 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Dead Sexy 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Bella Estrela 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Champlain’s Dream 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Baywatch Blonde 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Lorraine (FR) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dunphy 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Energy Efficient 2.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Dance for Green 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Penny Loafer 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Tubtimsiam 1.60 4.4 8-1
2 2 Mister Agent 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Midsummers Eve 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Euphima (ARG) 3.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Divina Dulce 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Flower Mound 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mollie Tapper 12.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Rye Smile 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Shared Authority 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Police Woman 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Princess Lucia 30.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Hot Dance 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Remember Me 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Baby Sox 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Closertotheheart 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Gormley’s Gabriela 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Faith and Liberty 2.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Destined to Dance 30.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Naughty Nan 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mile High Miracle 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Holonui 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Contrivance 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Laddie Dance 8.00 3.9 7-1
13 13 Zingales King 2.50 4.2 8-1
14 14 Skylar’s Brother 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Restrike 10.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Category Cinco 30.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Band Tour 20.00 7 13-1
8 8 Galactic Glory 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 All Fruits Ripe 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Blue Regalia 20.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Dowsing Rod 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Moonflyer 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Northern Cardinal 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ominous Dude 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lou’s Birthday 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kitty’s Son 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Just a Fair Shake 12.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Union Thunder 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Speedy Alex 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Liam’s the Great 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Mr. Mendelslew 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mickey Shillelagh 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Breakwater 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Sneaking Suspicion 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 K’s Storm Ready 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 The Paddock Pastor 2.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Hanksdiviningrod 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Gatto Be Proud 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Thunder Lad 20.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Formal Affair 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Continentalcongres 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Miss New York 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Cats Inthe Timber 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Majestic Creed 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Doctor Abbie 4.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 I’m Gittin There 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 American Memories 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Starlifter 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Chevy Man 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Shrug 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Brighty 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Raptor Razzle 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Blind Eye 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Original Idea 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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